Drought politics: Can Utah leaders inspire us to conserve water?

Mother Nature has been wreaking havoc with record heat and drought. How will Utah’s leaders respond?

By Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb

For several years, Utah has been performing well as a state. Our economy has been strong with low unemployment and rapid growth. However, Mother Nature has been wreaking havoc with record heat and drought. The mixture of all these dynamics can only mean one thing — more political wrangling.

State and local officials are very concerned about water shortages both short term and long term. Do our leaders possess the will to make necessary hard decisions and also persuade the population to follow them?

Pignanelli: “It’s a new normal and I really do think that global weirding is the best way to describe what we’re seeing.” — Katharine Hayhoe

I unequivocally love hot Utah summers, even the current season. Despite this heated joy, a nasty cold fact exists. A native Utahn, I can testify the weather patterns are changing. Whether caused by manmade pollution, sunspots, natural cycles, cow flatulence or those dang aliens flying the UFOs, our local meteorology is evolving. The models are correctly predicting Utah will endure higher temperatures and more precipitation — but through rainfall and less snowpack. This dynamic, combined with a burgeoning population and economy, offers an unprecedented challenge.

Last week, House Speaker Brad Wilson submitted a well-crafted guest opinion to this paper explaining the drought dilemma. This is significant because the author is a true political warrior who consistently demonstrates a courageous tenacity to undertake tough issues (e.g. tax reform, water management).

Senate President Stuart Adams has quietly revealed creativity in developing financing of much-needed state projects in transportation, economic development, health and water resources. Gov. Spencer Cox has an amazing ability to make tough decisions while expressing bold statements to citizens that would normally irritate, but are thoughtfully accepted. This explains his high approval ratings across the political spectrum.

Therefore, Utah may have the best generals to commence overcoming the deepest threat since the Great Depression. There is no room for error as we must innovate and alter habits. Vision is not enough as leadership moves the population to do what they normally don’t want to do.

This is the essence of politics. I get to watch from my much-treasured patio while enjoying the weather.

Webb: My pastures are already dry. We had no run-off and the creek is already low. One of the worst droughts in Utah’s history is a cold-water-to-the-face wake-up call we need to change our lifestyles and make necessary investments to ensure Utah doesn’t run out of water for essential needs.

That means using drastically less water for lawns and flowers, while conserving water for trees, vegetable gardens, drinking and bathing. It means metering secondary water systems and using market forces (higher costs) to change consumer behavior and the notion that everyone must have a green lawn.

It also means a lot more efficiency and conservation in agriculture, where most of our water is consumed. And, yes, despite opposition from some environmentalists, it means additional water development to capture runoff in wet years. This crisis requires sacrifice and compromise from everyone.

All of this demands strong leadership, innovation and effective communication from our policymakers. It won’t be easy to change many decades of culture and attitudes about water. We essentially must value it a lot more, treat it as the precious and costly resource it really is.

Beyond just curtailing water usage, what political mindset adaptations must Utahns make in order for us to survive this ordeal?

Pignanelli: One hundred and twenty years ago, most metropolitan areas were overwhelmed by horse waste, carcasses and disease. Residents responded by choosing the “environmental option” of newfangled petroleum powered vehicles. This illustrates perspectives change and judgment for past behavior is pointless.

If prompted by intelligent explanations, Utahns will support tough decisions and endure sacrifices. But we will not tolerate silly critiques. Success depends on no guilt trips and judgment-free planning.

Webb: If the experts are to be believed, we may never go back to the wet years, due to climate change. I don’t know if that’s true, and I’m not ready to concede that every big weather event, whether it’s extra hot or extra cold, or extra wet or extra dry, is the result of a warming climate and greenhouse gas emissions.

However, the same measures that combat climate change also help clean up our air, conserve our water and keep it pure, and otherwise protect nature. Those are things we all can support whether we agree or disagree that climate change is the greatest threat to our planet’s future.

I believe we’re rapidly moving to ubiquitous clean energy and a healthier environment. But we should allow innovation and free market forces to prevail, not force the issue with onerous government regulation and market-disrupting subsidies that destroy the wealth that makes progress possible.

Is there any hope that proposed solutions to the drought and growth avoid partisan wrangling?

Pignanelli: The stakes are too high to allow party hacks from demonizing tough decisions and collaboration between politicians in solving problems.

Webb: If we can center the solutions on conserving the water we all need and improving air quality, not about global warming, then we can reach agreement.

Opinion: Utah’s Senate race, a crime wave and Biden in Europe — oh my

By Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb

Stifling summer heat is here — weeks early. Heat stroke prevents us from focusing our feeble minds on one topic, so here’s a potpourri of issues in the news.

Former Utah House member Becky Edwards has kicked off a campaign for the Republican U.S. Senate nomination next year against Sen. Mike Lee. Club for Growth Action, a national conservative SuperPAC that has endorsed Lee, has already mailed attack ads against Edwards and Ally Isom, another potential opponent. Is this a smart strategy and is Lee vulnerable?

Pignanelli: “War has rules, mud wrestling has rules — politics has no rules.” — Ross Perot

Mountains of dandruff were created by political operatives scratching their heads watching the tactics of this PAC. The entity is legally forbidden from coordinating with Lee’s campaign, which explains the confusing activities.

Of course, smart candidates define themselves and their opponents before the other side does. But precinct caucuses are scheduled for March. The convention and primary are a year away. Thus, the timeliness is questionable. The challengers were almost unknown, but the mailed literature has elevated their name identification, especially with the resulting buzz in traditional and social media.

Lee is well financed and beloved among most GOP activists. But his Senate accomplishments are often ignored or vilified in the media. The PAC blundered by not highlighting Lee’s achievements to bolster support among the general population. Moreover, there are acres of fertile ground to plant seeds that Lee is the needed obstacle to liberal Democrats and a Biden administration. That helps him secure signatures for the petition and enhances fundraising capabilities.

This is another reminder that national PACs, either on the left or right, are usually clueless about local politics. They cause head scratching every year.

Webb: The truth is, it’s way too early to make any intelligent comments about this race. But I’m always willing to make unintelligent comments. Edwards is one of several Republicans thinking about challenging Lee for the GOP nomination. But Edwards is running a real campaign and the fact that Lee allies are already attacking her shows they take her seriously. But they’re increasing her visibility and generating some sympathy support for her. Lee ought to tell them to knock it off.

Lee does have some vulnerabilities. His overall job approval rating isn’t terribly high and his demeanor is more detached, scholarly and judicial than that of a charismatic rock star politician.

Edwards’ problem is that this race is for the GOP nomination and Lee is popular with the Republican base. Lee is clearly the favorite in the GOP primary.

Much will depend on the national political climate. If the Biden administration and congressional Democrats continue their leftward tilt, Utah Republicans will want someone who will fight for conservative values and policies, not someone who takes moderate positions and pledges to bring everyone together.

There has been a big uptick in crime across the country, especially gun violence. Is this a gun problem, or is it related to a shortage of police officers and poor law enforcement morale? Could this be a campaign issue?

Pignanelli: Defying expectations, enhancing public safety, and supporting law enforcement are winning issues in the 2021 New York City mayoral election. One of the leading contenders is a former police captain.

Most major metropolitan areas, including those in Utah, are experiencing increases in crime. The variety of causes percolating in the post-pandemic environment will continue next year. This will create incredible anxiety for politicians on both sides. Special interest groups successfully pushed policymakers into a relaxation of containing criminal behavior.

Backtracking is already happening. This new dynamic will likely drive a much-needed practical re-examination of how justice is implemented.

Webb: This is a real problem and Democrats who are viewed as anti-police may be punished in 2022. Liberal Democrats tend to focus their wrath on police shootings and ignore the much greater violence occurring all across the country. Their solution is gun control, which is a distraction and scapegoat. They prefer not to deal with the root causes of violence. Officials could try to confiscate all the 350 million to 400 million guns in America and criminals would still be shooting people.

This is a potent campaign issue. Police officers are demoralized, recruitment is difficult, and retirement rates are accelerating. Police work has always been stressful and dangerous. But who would want to be part of the thin blue line in this atmosphere of disrespect, overzealous scrutiny and lack of support from policymakers?

Certainly, if cops violate laws they should be fired and prosecuted. But responsible and caring officers every day face the reality that a split-second decision in a criminal confrontation that they didn’t want or instigate might lead to scrutiny, trauma, community unrest and loss of job. That’s too much pressure on police officers.

President Joe Biden has concluded his first international trip. He declared to America’s European allies that, “America is back at the table,” and his interactions were much cozier than those of his predecessor. How will Utah’s congressional delegation respond to “less drama” in U.S. foreign relations?

Pignanelli: For generations, Utahns were rightfully suspicious of authoritarian regimes. Hopefully the rhetoric will be now matched by legislative actions as our senators and representatives demand a stronger approach to those countries wishing us harm.

Webb: Biden enjoyed a love fest with European allies and the news media covering his trip. He had some “senior moments” when he had a hard time communicating, but I admit it was more comfortable to see a normalization of foreign relations after President Trump’s “America first” policies. But Utah’s delegation should provide oversight to ensure that other nations don’t take advantage of Biden’s kinder, gentler approach.

Redistricting ensures a sizzling political summer in Utah

By Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb

Political redistricting happens only once every decade, but it’s always a traumatic event for many politicians. It also provides a forum for political do-gooder groups that want to do the impossible — take politics out of the process. And, it provides a gold mine of speculation for political hacks like us.

A new element this year is the independent redistricting commission that will hold hearings and draw maps in parallel with the legislative redistricting committee. What dynamics will this create? Will the two entities be complementary or adversarial?

Pignanelli: “She was from the wrong side of the tracks no matter how you gerrymandered the town.” — James Lileks

A signatory to the Declaration of Independence and member of the Continental Congress, Elbridge Gerry utilized mercantile contacts to supply the Revolutionary American Army. As delegate to the Constitutional Convention, he was instrumental in developing our governmental structure. Opposed to slavery, Gerry pushed against the provision counting slaves as three-fifths of a free person in apportionment. He was invaluable in passing the Bill of Rights.

Before serving as James Madison’s vice president, Gerry was governor of Massachusetts. In 1812, despite concerns with some details, he signed the redistricting legislation. Political opponents were outraged, comparing the shape of a Senate district to a salamander — giving birth to term “gerrymander.”

The politics of redistricting are so volatile that even an amazing founding father like Gerry continues to be unfairly blemished after 200 years. The upcoming clash in Utah will be equally emotional. The objectives of the new commission will clash with the realities lawmakers must confront. Personalities, incumbency and the needs of local jurisdictions will be in play — as they have for centuries. These struggles are a tiresome but necessary struggle in a healthy democracy.

As redistricting heats up in Utah, one of the most effective partisan attacks in history — a salamander cartoon — will be recalled incessantly. Poor Gerry.

Webb: This will be redistricting year like no other. News media interest will be intense. Besides the legislative redistricting committee and the independent redistricting committee drawing maps at the same time, progressive groups like Better Boundaries (which got the measure on the ballot creating the independent commission) and the Alliance for a Better Utah will be hovering over the process, analyzing every line the Republican Legislature draws.

In addition, political parties will monitor and try to influence the process, along with legislators, members of Congress, and cities and counties that don’t want to be chopped up.

Passions will be inflamed, feelings will be hurt and national interest will be extreme. Incumbents and challengers will be impatient to know their district configurations so they can begin campaigning. For political junkies, it will be a fun summer and fall.

Utah’s population has boomed over the last decade, especially in new suburban areas. What will be the impact of the growth patterns on legislative and congressional redistricting and will there be winners and losers?

Pignanelli: Demographics is the source of pain in redistricting. Utah County and other regions have boomed in population and will receive new legislative seats at the expense of Salt Lake City and east Salt Lake County. The commission cannot prevent this mathematical dynamic. The result will demonstratively impact partisan makeup, leadership and even focus of issues in future legislative sessions.

Webb: Courts have been adamant that legislatures create political districts equal in population. Population equity trumps everything else. So high-growth areas, most of them Republican majority, will gain representation, while no-growth or slow-growth areas will lose. Northern Utah County and southwestern Salt Lake County will be winners. Older urban neighborhoods will lose a little political clout.

Those drawing maps will try to keep cities, counties and communities of interest together. But because district populations must be equal, that won’t always be possible. It’s easy to look at one area, or even a region, and keep communities together. But when boundaries and equal districts have to be extended statewide, it is impossible to please everyone.

Is it likely a safe Democratic congressional district will be created, or will the Republican legislative majority try to evenly distribute Democratic votes among the four congressional districts?

Pignanelli: In prior redistricting deliberations, there was serious talk of a “lean Democrat” district. Apparently, national GOP bigwigs balked at giving Dems a “gimme.” Because Republicans are a few seats away from recapturing the majority in the U.S. House, the scientific prediction of a Democratic seat formed by the redistricting committee in 2021 is exactly 0%.

Webb: Congressional boundaries will be the biggest battle of the redistricting wars. Republicans will argue, somewhat persuasively, that each congressional district should include some urban, suburban and rural components. This ensures that all members of the delegation are concerned about both urban and rural issues. Democrats will argue, also persuasively, that because Democrats routinely win more than 25% of the vote in Utah, they should certainly get one congressional seat.

It’s gonna be messy, and control of the U.S. House of Representatives could hang in the balance. The political intrigue will be thick.

Opinion: What happens in Utah if inflation monster rears its ugly head?

By Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb

Some economists are forecasting the nation will suffer from high inflation in the near future. This may be caused by massive federal stimulus funding, tariffs on commodities, post-pandemic economic resurgence, etc. Your columnists are old guys who remember the horrors of prices escalating on a frequent basis. We provide our geriatric recollections and the possible impact on politics.

For almost 40 years, high inflation of prices and interest rates has not been a serious problem. If it returns over the next several months, what could be the economic and political impact?

Pignanelli: “Inflation is as violent as a mugger, as frightening as an armed robber and as deadly as a hit man.” — Ronald Reagan

I remember the 1970s fondly for bell-bottoms, discotheques and groundbreaking television. But it was a time of oil embargoes and seemingly never-ending price increases. Inflation diminishes wages for middle- and lower-income families, while devastating their savings and assets. This corrosive effect generates emotions with voters and the impact on politics is illustrated through three presidents.

Most attribute the resignation of Richard Nixon from the Watergate scandal. But his public standing in 1974 was extremely low in the polls because inflation was raging at 11%. He could not survive both. While his pardon of Nixon was controversial, Gerald Ford faced the more daunting challenge of 10% inflation in 1975. This led to his 1976 loss, with Jimmy Carter claiming a “misery index” of high inflation and unemployment. Four years later, Carter was dispatched by Ronald Reagan as the inflation rate in 1980 was almost 14%.

Depending when inflationary pressures decay Americans’ wages and investments, history suggests reverberation in the midterm and possibly the general elections. The early 2020s may be remembered more than just for post-pandemic celebrations.

Webb: It sounds old-fashioned and boring to be worried about inflation. But high inflation in an overheated economy can be devastating. It’s a hidden tax. It reduces the value of savings and retirement nest eggs. The Federal Reserve response to high inflation usually means higher interest rates, which could tank the housing market and drive up federal debt payments to catastrophic levels.

The Biden administration is taking a monumental risk by flooding the country with “free” money while the economy is already booming after the pandemic. The resulting inflation and potentially higher interest rates could severely dampen economic expansion and needed job growth.

Some experts argue there’s nothing to worry about. They say today’s economy is different, that high inflation is temporary, and that price surges will decline once supply and demand are better balanced as manufacturing picks up and supply chains return to normal. Whether that is true or not remains to be seen.

But, clearly, whether inflation becomes a crisis or not, the historic blowout of borrowing, printing and spending money at the federal level is unwise. It not only is fiscally dangerous, it teaches incorrect principles — that there really is a free lunch and debt is no big deal.

Once people don’t fear or care about debt or deficits, and expect cradle-to-grave government services that they don’t pay for, we’re at that tipping point in a democracy where citizens have discovered they can vote themselves unlimited services without consequence.

But there always are consequences. Whether inflation soars right away or not, we simply cannot defy economic gravity forever. We’re headed toward a really dangerous place.

Most Utahns do not have a memory of an inflationary economy. So if one reappears, what are the local ramifications?

Pignanelli: Utah was especially hit hard during by the 1970s inflation because of reliance on a few industries. Today, our state is much more diverse economically, which will help absorb the impact. Utah’s largest economic sector, financial services, is focused on innovation, which may be of real benefit to not only survive, but perhaps flourish during this time.

The frustration with federal macroeconomic policies will trickle to down-ballot races. Because government largess is the likely target of blame, candidates who can distance themselves from overspending practices and offer alternatives will succeed. Many of the battles currently raging inside each party will be forgotten amid this turmoil.

Webb: With worst-case raging inflation, we could see a major stock market setback and the dreaded “stagflation” — a 1970s economic term that means persistent high inflation combined with high unemployment and stagnant consumer demand. That’s what destroyed Jimmy Carter’s presidency.

Those in power get blamed, so the misery also trickles down to state and local politics.

Could inflation provide any opportunities for politicians or new ideologies?

Pignanelli: Because of policies and beliefs, lefty progressives and devoted Trumpistas could be burdened by politicos with blame for inflation. This dynamic creates a ripe opening for visionary think tanks and party leaders to offer various economic and governance solutions that are practical and effective. A new age of rational thought is possible.

Webb: President Joe Biden will get plenty of blame if serious inflation occurs on his watch. But beware: Besides providing opportunity for innovative solutions, economic distress also provides fertile ground for rabble-rousers and extremists.

What politicians are looking forward to after Memorial Day weekend

By Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb

Pignanelli & Webb: Finally. Memorial Day holiday 2021, a well-deserved long weekend of wonderful weather — and no masks. As the unofficial beginning of summer, this is when most people plan their vacations and personal improvement projects for the warm season. Politicians are no different. So, we used artificial intelligence (because we don’t have any real intelligence) and social media analytics (performed by 11-year-olds) to reveal what is planned by our leaders.

President Joe Biden: “Given my age and the possibility of cognitive decline, I’m going to get a head start on my presidential memoir even though I’ve been in office only a few months. It’s going to be titled, ‘How to Talk Like a Moderate and Govern Like a Liberal While Wearing a Mask.’”

Former President Donald Trump: “I’m going to spend the summer talking about how the election was stolen, why I’m the legitimate president, how unfair it is to be banned from Twitter and Facebook, why the news media, Hollywood and Big Tech hate me — while playing a lot of golf at Mar a Lago. In other words, business as usual.”

Sen. Mitt Romney: “I will commence writing the second installment of ‘Profiles in Courage’. This will highlight politicians of principle in these modern turbulent times and provide inspiration. So far, I will feature Liz Cheney and ... well ... me. Any other suggestions?”

Gov. Spencer Cox: “Being a sensible, reasonable, nonpartisan, nice guy gets a lot of media attention. My administration is receiving accolades nationally and across the planet. If I can keep this up I foresee the ultimate reward … an interview with Oprah Winfrey. I know I can do it.”

Utah Parents United: “We got our legislative resolution discouraging teaching of critical race theory (CRT). Now we can spend the summer trying to figure out what CRT actually is. No one seems to know, and we can’t find a good definition. But we know this abhorrence exists in the public education curriculum. Somewhere.”

U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders: “I will be working on my book. ‘How to lose the presidential election and get every one of your campaign promises adopted by the new administration.’”

U.S. Sen. Mike Lee: “I’m looking forward to a relaxing summer project. My description of HR1 having been ‘written in hell by the devil himself’ got so much notoriety that I’m going to research and find all of the names of the various demons, banshees, monsters, ghouls, etc., and apply those names as authors of future left-wing Democratic legislation. This should be great fun.”

Salt Lake City Mayor Erin Mendenhall and Salt Lake County Mayor Jenny Wilson: “In an act of bipartisanship, we were going to invite all the Republicans to a mask bonfire this summer and cook hotdogs. Then we realized the toxic fumes this would generate. So will have a garden party, with wine tasting, to collect the masks and have them recycled into tents and sleeping bags for the homeless. We know everyone will support this.”

Utah legislators: “This will be a wonderful summer because the only interim committee session is scheduled for June. Of course, we need extra the time to schmooze the redistricting committee. Got to make sure those new boundaries are just right.”

Congressman Blake Moore: “I’m going spend summer vacation building upon my recent opinion essay where I affirmed the Republican Party can grow through greater diversity, inclusiveness and aspiration. I know this can succeed. Just ask the unicorns, pixies and leprechauns who have agreed to help me.”

Congressman Chris Stewart: “Ahhh. the lazy days of summer. Swimming, napping in hammocks, lemonade ... bashing socialists, berating Biden’s leftist programs, defending Trump, warning against China and Russia. What a relaxing summer.”

Congressman Burgess Owens: “I’ve enjoyed my time in the nation’s capital. Hopefully, I can use these summer months to persuade my legislative friends on the redistricting committee to give me a few more Republican voters to even out my district. Just a few thousand.”

Congressman John Curtis: “I look forward to traveling the state and reopening my congressional offices so I can interact in person with constituents. This is important. Plus, I get to show off my collection of really cool socks.”

Senate President Stuart Adams and House Speaker Brad Wilson: “We are excited to attend a mental health therapy camp this summer. It is focused on helping conservatives not feel guilty for spending billions of federal COVID relief tax dollars.”

Utah Democrats: “We toiled all winter defending President Biden’s vision of expanding federal programs at incredible scale. We’re going to reward ourselves by reading a summer fantasy book: ‘Yes, You Can Spend Billions Without Stoking Massive Inflation.’”

Pignanelli: “I intend on recreating in all of the great outdoors opportunities in Salt Lake City. So if a restaurant or bar has a patio … I’ll be there.”

Webb: “I look forward to getting to town and expanding my circle of friends … my chickens are tired of me lecturing them about politics.”

Will the ‘Trump factor’ continue to roil Republican politics?

By Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb

National media pundits have exhausted themselves discussing recent internal Republican Party squabbles. We spend our limited energy opining whether all this turmoil affects Utah politics.

Rep. Liz Cheney was dumped from House leadership because of her ongoing criticism of former President Donald Trump. Some are calling this evidence of a “civil war” within the Republican Party. Is that true and is it happening here in Utah?

Pignanelli: “What is happening inside the GOP feels closer to a purge. Two bigger sides are needed to have a civil war.”— Brendan Buck, adviser to Republican House speakers

Despite multiple references, the term “civil war” is an inaccurate description. The conflict is more of a family fight or tribal dispute. No policy or substance issues are involved. Rather it’s a clash over fealty to a patriarch, without an identifiable leader or group in opposition.

The Cheney situation defies the easy explanation offered by pundits. She received substantial support by her colleagues in a similar vote in February. Cheney’s commitment to conscience is commendable. But the Wyoming congresswoman shares her famous father’s pugnacious demeanor (a kind description) and caused unnecessary friction inside the GOP conference.

While dedicated Trumpistas do abound in Utah, their impact pales in comparison to other regions. Most local Republicans will proclaim strong support of Trump’s policies but use careful language regarding the actual persona. Smart politicians understand the president endures mixed feelings in the state.

In a domestic squabble, some family members wisely remain on the sidelines. Few Utah politicos will pick a fight over temperaments that don’t mesh with our state.

Webb: With advantages in redistricting and the unreliable leadership and leftward tilt of the Joe Biden administration, Republicans should be in great shape to take back the Senate and win control of the House in 2022.

But the battle between the Trump lovers and Trump haters in the GOP divides the party and threatens the prospects of a national GOP resurgence. The schism won’t make much difference in Utah, but it will in close congressional elections in swing states.

As I’ve written many times, Republicans won’t win close elections if they alienate the Trump base, OR if they alienate traditional Republicans who don’t like Trump’s character. Both factions must put aside their disdain for each other and unite in voting against the big-government, high-tax, ultraliberal agenda of congressional Democrats and the Biden administration.

“I hate Trump” isn’t a great political manifesto for a Republican to run on. Cheney and others like her are doing a disservice to their party by continually brooding over Trump and responding to his every social media post. Just ignore him and focus on policy, while encouraging his supporters to stick with the party.

Utah’s congressional delegation was divided on the Cheney removal. Rep. Blake Moore and Sen. Mitt Romney were publicly opposed. Will this be an issue for any of them in the 2022 elections? Does this create challenges for the new GOP party officers?

Pignanelli: Moore will encounter questions from Trump hardliners. Romney, because of the two impeachment votes, will face more aggressive internal opposition. Cheney’s replacement, Rep. Elise Stefanik, is a Trump enthusiast but substantially less conservative than Cheney. Romney, but especially Moore, can claim that their actions are consistent with GOP values. Gov. Spencer Cox demonstrates such a strategy is viable.

Reaction to politicians supporting Cheney’s demotion may depend on Trump’s status in a year. While they may not face significant pushback inside the party, their general election opponents could create entertaining mischief.

The new GOP officers are compelled to comprehend the environment. Donors are hesitant to provide resources to an organization in turmoil. Thus, the Utah Republican Party must signal it is beyond the disputes raging at a national level. These officials are about to gain a crash course in practical politics.

Webb: A Republican incumbent, in Utah or elsewhere, can disagree with Trump, and/or dislike him, and still be OK politically. But it is the unrelenting harping on Trump, and being unable to get beyond Trump’s role in the insurrection of Jan. 6, that grows old and disrupts party unity.

No doubt, Trump’s continual haranguing about the 2020 election being stolen is extremely annoying, even for many who liked his policies. But reacting to his every pronouncement only encourages him.

This problem is not going away. Trump is expected to begin holding rallies around the country. Republicans must learn to live with the immense Trump distraction, while trying to hold the party together. It won’t be easy.

Will the controversy impact down ballot races (i.e. legislative, school boards, etc.)?

Pignanelli: Usually, local candidates can avoid presidential politics. But, history suggests if voters sense dysfunction within either party they may cast their ballots accordingly.

Webb: Local candidates should certainly explain their philosophy of government and ideological underpinnings. But they are wise to focus on local problem-solving and issues related to the positions they are seeking.

Masks and vaccines are no reason to act like 2-year-olds

By Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb

The pandemic — and the various government, medical and societal responses to it — continues to drive news and political machinations. Although our nation was already divided, two new unneeded riffs over vaccinations and masks are agitating citizens. We explore the implications.

As vaccinations continue, but at a reduced pace, extreme elements are coalescing around both sides of the vaccination controversy. Many citizens are stridently opposed to vaccination and are threatening the advantages of herd immunity. But there are also numerous individuals who are fully vaccinated and are still demanding masks and social distancing at most gatherings. Could this controversy impact elections?

Pignanelli: “It’s pretty wild how we used to eat cake after someone would blow on it. Good times!” — Internet meme

Scientists amaze when unlocking the secrets of the stellar and subatomic universes. But the greatest mysteries remain as to the human mind (aka why do people think this way?). One year ago, most politicos predicted the distribution of vaccines would be the battle. No one conjectured the current situation.

The emotions exuded by both sides of this controversy are matched by unexpected beliefs. Hard-core adherents to masking and social distancing appropriately relied on actual evidence to reduce the spread. Those concerned with such restrictions properly referenced indisputable facts including the low rate of mortality, identifiable vulnerable populations and overhyped media reports. But such prior logical attitudes were abandoned with novel claims that restrictions are still necessary, or coronavirus vaccinations are dangerous.

Without herd immunity, the disease is likely to remain with us in different forms for decades. The energetic factions will be demanding sympathetic responses from their elected officials, thus impacting political deliberations in some form. Hopefully, this will be dampened as most Utahns occupy the rational middle sweet spot.

Maybe the next scientific breakthrough is the discovery of how we arrived in this unusual situation … in the 21st century.

Webb: It’s remarkable to me that vaccinations and masks are even an issue. What can I say, except, “Let’s be reasonable!” Unfortunately, some folks on both sides aren’t governed by common sense, so we’ve witnessed emotional shouting matches and ugly confrontations. Politicians have to navigate gingerly.

Perhaps we should try a little humor. I’ve had to laugh at airlines that demand very young children wear masks. Whoever made those rules has never tried to reason with a 2-year-old. This wasn’t funny, of course, for families that were actually kicked off airplanes because their 2-year-old kept ripping off his mask.

Because of deficient family planning (or total lack thereof), my wife and I somehow became parents to six 2-year-olds (arriving consecutively, thank goodness). These diabolical little banshees always did precisely the opposite of my expectations of reasonable behavior, responding to every sensible request (like, “Please don’t kick the dog”) with rip-roaring temper tantrums.

This occurred frequently in public places, purposely chosen by those wicked little demons to make everyone around you think you’re murdering them. In the midst of such wondrous displays of tiny-person meltdown, I frequently offered to take the child into the bathroom, stick his/her head in the toilet, and flush, but my patient wife always vetoed that reasonable response.

Happily, each of our devilish 2-year-olds eventually became sweet, smiling, obedient 3-year-olds. (Then they became teenagers, but that’s another story.)

So, besides the obvious conclusion that forcing a 2-year-old to wear a mask on an airplane is a crime against nature, my point is that we should all stop acting like 2-year-olds. And more like 3-year-olds.

Regardless of the future pace of vaccinations, should our state and country ditch the masks and open everything up? Or is continued caution the best approach?

Pignanelli: The unquestionable goal of vaccinations is to preserve open lifestyles. Our economy, education and mental health of the population cannot survive the continuation of restrictions. Humans need interaction to succeed at all levels.

Social pressure (like anti-smoking crusades) may ensure a greater participation toward “the jab.” Yet, we may have to accept the reality that segments of the population will never be vaccinated. Society must open and adapt.

Webb: We should encourage vaccinations and those who are vaccinated should enjoy life without masks or restrictions. But we should respect private businesses and individuals who ask us to mask up. In other words: Get vaccinated, hug those you love, go maskless — but keep one in your back pocket just in case.

What are the political ramifications for our president, governor and mayors?

Pignanelli: Executive officials will garner credit or blame for any pandemic results. Over time they will be forced to declare where they stand regarding those refusing vaccinations. This will compel a decision whether to cater to those screaming for continued masks and social distancing. Most will opt for the middle. Leaders will ascertain no outcome satisfies all quarters in this weird environment. Political skills will be tested.

Webb: Despite widespread criticism, politicians have done their best in this pandemic, even though mistakes were made. There was no handbook.

The pandemic exacerbated political trends and tendencies. Certainly, the pandemic has required a large government response. But some politicians who like big government and control over citizens have happily taken advantage of the opportunity to try to permanently enlarge the size, scope, cost and coercion of government. Freedom-loving people and politicians have understandably pushed back.

There is a middle ground. We’re now at the point where we should use guidelines and suggestions, not coercion. We should all be enormously grateful that the pandemic is winding down.

Utah’s GOP convention: Should mainstream conservatives be concerned?

By Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb

Last Saturday, Utah Republican delegates held their organizing convention to elect party officers. But they also captured national attention for loudly booing Sen. Mitt Romney. They also booed Gov. Spencer Cox. This gathering and its results deserve a close look.

In addition to the catcalls, delegates narrowly rejected a resolution to censure Romney, and they elected a slate of inexperienced leaders while rejecting those endorsed by elected officials and establishment Republicans. Should mainstream conservatives be concerned about these developments?

Pignanelli: “A dying culture invariably exhibits personal rudeness.” — Robert Heinlein.

The organizing convention for a political party is akin to youngsters at the ice cream buffet. Parents are vaguely aware of the various condiments but usually shocked at what is brought back to the table.

The unruly behavior of the crowd offended many, but such is the nature of most delegates ... within both parties. These activists are often pleasant individuals, but when part of a herd, they excel at embarrassing comportment. Unfortunately, this outrageous behavior is a longtime fixture. Gov. Mike Leavitt, Rep. Jim Matheson and Sens. Orrin Hatch and Bob Bennett were booed at past party conventions.

Cox is receiving accolades across the political spectrum for his competence, compassion and a resounding economy. Yet, many convention participants rewarded this excellence with derisive shouts.

The good news is the GOP convocation further solidified beliefs that extremists on either side should not be given full control of determining candidates in a general election. They care more for policy purity than electability and actual results.

Children can be forgiven for unhealthy choices selecting desserts. Conversely, immature delegates demonstrate a need for a permanent “timeout.”

Webb: This convention exemplified all that is wrong with the caucus/convention system. Only half the state delegates bothered to show up. Six long hours after the convention began, when the final vote was taken for leadership, another 500 delegates had gone home. Many of those remaining were the most extreme activists. And they decided the party leadership.

For many GOP delegates, you’re a pretty brilliant person until you get elected to something. And then you suddenly become an idiot. It has become a rite of passage for the state’s best leaders to be booed at a Republican convention.

As I’ve written previously, I disagreed with Romney’s votes to impeach former President Donald Trump. I thought it helped Democrats and divided the party. I understand why many Republicans were disappointed with him.

But I agree with Romney on at least 80% of the issues facing the nation. Following the counsel of Ronald Reagan, I’m not going to let the 20% disagreement nullify the 80% agreement.

After all, my wife only agrees with me 51% of the time (especially when I want to buy a new tractor), but she still likes me (I think). There are much better ways to communicate one’s differences than to shout down a speaker at a party convention.

Carson Jorgensen and Jordan Hess were perceived as long shot candidates for chairman and vice chairman, but bested opponents by a wide margin. Insiders are already wondering if they will continue the crusade against SB54 and signature gathering for placement on primary ballots, thereby distracting from fundraising and organizing to elect Republicans. Is this a real worry?

Pignanelli: Strident extremists do not understand or even care that the priority of a political party is to elect candidates. Intensive fundraising and strategic messaging are critical components. Party leaders who ignore or even foster ideological tests and controversies over minutia quickly doom the organization to debt and irrelevance. Both parties endured these difficulties of narrow exclusionary vision in the last two decades.

Outgoing GOP Chairman Derek Brown is the gold standard of party leadership. (His Democrat counterpart Jeff Merchant is equally capable.) These partisans are focused on fundraising, technical support and messaging to a broader spectrum of voters. New state and county party officials would be wise to heed their guidance.

Webb: I’m told the current party budget is about $40,000 a month. Unless Jorgensen and Hess can do some very quick damage control and make amends with the Republican establishment, the party is going to be broke and dysfunctional.

The reality is, it’s very difficult to raise money for a political party. Most people would rather donate directly to candidates. Contributions from elected officials and a handful of wealthy individuals keep the party going.

With Cox, Romney and many in the business community irritated at the party, and with the new leaders lacking relationships with GOP donors, good luck with fundraising. And if the party goes after SB54 and the hybrid nomination process, establishment Republicans will use a vehicle like the Reagan Roundtable to organize and support candidates, bypassing the party.

Here’s some free advice to the new party leadership: Try to broaden the party appeal, not narrow it. Welcome all Utahns who want to affiliate with the party — conservatives, moderates, independents and one-eyed, one-horned flying purple people-eaters (Google that). Don’t drive people away with litmus tests or ideological barriers. And let all Republicans choose party nominees.

Can Democrats take advantage of this confusion?

Pignanelli: The opportunity for Democrats is directly proportional to their willingness to establish a comfort level for moderate Republicans. This would require a demonstrable and consistent separation from many of the policies posed by national progressive Democrats. It has been done before — but not in recent history.

Webb: Unfortunately for Democrats, Republicans don’t really need the Republican Party to win. The usual party functions of grassroots organizing, fundraising, get-out-the-vote, survey research, etc., can be done by candidates themselves, especially if the party is dysfunctional and broke.