Was this election a disaster for Utah Democrats? Perhaps there’s a silver lining

Your columnists are happy to join the crowd and share our perspectives on the final results and what it all means. By Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb

For political junkies, pundits and operatives, election results are a gold mine of information for endless analysis and rumination. With Utah’s election complete, the opining has begun. Your columnists are happy to join the crowd and share our perspectives on the final results and what it all means.

The hotly contested 4th Congressional District race finally ended with a narrow victory for Republican challenger Burgess Owens against Democrat incumbent Ben McAdams. This was unexpected six months ago. How did this happen? Does this race and other Utah elections mirror what happened on a national level?

Pignanelli: “What matters most in politics is personality. It’s not issues; it’s not image. It’s who you are and what you represent.” — Frank Luntz

The 2020 national elections were like a television reality program, heavy on personality but light on details. Similarly, the 4th District contest was not waged over specific policies or McAdam’s performance, but rather personalities and perceived alignment with extremist forces. Such battles require strategic positioning and clever tactics. Democrats spent millions blasting Owens for his bankruptcies. But many Utahns utilized such debt relief for compelling reasons. So, Owens’ opponents unwittingly reaffirmed his image as a common person with everyday struggles.

McAdams diagnosis in his concession speech was correct. Affiliation with lefty national Democrats was an impossible burden to shake, especially with Utah County Republicans casting ballots in greater numbers. Although a newcomer to politics, polls always revealed Owens a viable contender. This demonstrated serious headwinds for McAdams despite his strong performance in Congress. A persuasive substantive message was elusive. Indeed, thousands voted for Joseph Biden but lacked enthusiasm to even vote in this race.

Owens and his campaign deserve tremendous credit. They expertly and consistently stuck to their message of Owens as an outsider with real world problems. Whether because of the pandemic or frustration with Congress, voters were receptive to this message.

So, Owens is well prepared to enter a massive reality and entertainment milieu — the U.S. House of Representatives.

Webb: The turnout for the 2020 election was record-setting both in Utah and nationally. In addition to mail-in voting, a central reason for the massive turnout was Donald Trump — to vote for him or against him. In Utah and across the country, Trump’s base turned out and helped win Republican seats in Congress and state legislatures.

It is ironic that Trump couldn’t save himself, but he helped win hundreds of down-ballot races for Republicans. Biden had the weakest coattails of any presidential winner in 60 years.

In Utah, Trump won with more than 58% of the vote, up dramatically from his election in 2016. McAdams simply couldn’t withstand the Republican onslaught. This race was “nationalized” more than I would have expected. Utah voters didn’t want Democrats controlling the entire federal government.

All voters were sick of the negative advertising in the race. With so much of it, the sides canceled each other out as voters stopped paying attention.

Owens is already on Fox News frequently. As a Black Republican with a compelling life story, he’ll have plenty of opportunities to be a warrior for conservative values. However, he should follow the example of former Congresswoman Mia Love and keep his head down, immerse himself in committee work and constituent services, and on practical matters important to Utah.

On election night, Democrats were poised for some major victories only to see many of them disappear as all the ballots were counted. Was this year a disaster for Utah Democrats or is there a silver lining?

Pignanelli: Democrats have some condolences. No incumbent legislators lost and they overall netted a seat. Biden and Salt Lake County Mayor Jenny Wilson captured a slight majority in Salt Lake County, but otherwise Republicans fared well in many other races. This reaffirms — again — Democrats require a different strategy in messaging.

Webb: Democrats in many races were clobbered with the same forces that took down McAdams. Republicans now hold a supermajority on the Salt Lake County Council, which is quite remarkable.

It would be a mistake, though, to label Utah a right-wing state. We will have a moderate governor in Spencer Cox and moderate members of Congress in Mitt Romney, John Curtis and Blake Moore. Remember that just two years ago a number of quite progressive ballot measure were approved. Our legislative leadership is mainstream.

We’re not swinging much to the left or right. Democrats still have hope with the right candidates and the right positions on issues.

Voter turnout in Utah was exceedingly high. Was this unique to 2020 or part of a larger trend?

Pignanelli: Because Utah suffered low voter rates for many years, politicos were grateful for this record response. The midterm 2022 elections may not garner as much excitement, but the volatile nature of politics does have a positive side of engaging citizens to mail their ballots. Thus, this could be a delightful trend.

Webb: Voting by mail has changed the game. Turnout will remain high, especially when helped by an emotional presidential race.

The 2020 election is over (mostly) ... What happened?

By Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb

National political pundits are desperately trying to explain unexpected inconsistencies in federal elections. But the same dynamics also occurred in Utah

National political pundits are desperately trying to explain unexpected inconsistencies in federal elections. But the same dynamics also occurred in Utah. We suggest that this confusion can best be explained by two people with addled brains — your columnists.

The presidential contest was much closer than projected in polling. Although former Vice President Joe Biden won the popular vote (and most likely the Electoral College), Democrats unexpectedly lost U.S. House races, and are unlikely to win the Senate.

In Utah, GOP congressional contender Burgess Owens was leading Democrat Ben McAdams at our Thursday deadline. Yet, Utah Democrats are likely to increase House seats, protect incumbents and they came close in other races. What is going on?

Pignanelli: “On Election Day, there was huge support of each political party. But there’s a ton of warning signs for them. They got a lot of votes but people weren’t satisfied with either party.” — Matthew Dowd, ABC News

ALERT: All the smart political people do not reside on the East Coast. Thankfully, the essential KUED program “The Hinckley Report” (skillfully hosted by Jason Perry) offers weekly televised opportunities for Utah journalists and politicos to offer their important perspectives. During a recent episode, Deseret News Opinion Editor Boyd Matheson opined that a great shift is occurring among voters as they become increasingly issue-oriented. He defines this trend “transactional” as citizens focus on specific concerns, not political parties. Matheson observed this is good for the republic in fostering compromise, coalitions and quality government.

For example, what was once the Democratic base of working-class America is now the stronghold of Republicans. Conversely, Democrats are performing better in suburban arenas, but losing large portions of the country. These shifts are grounded on issues, not ideologies.

Yeah, I risk being accused of toadying to Matheson — the patient newspaper boss for LaVarr and me. But he describes well what is happening across the country and in Utah. Voter turnout was massive and yet there were no “waves” for either party. In a pandemic, Americans demonstrated their concerns for country, state and community by concentrating on issues.

Once again, the Utah talent gets it right.

Webb: Democrats hoping for an election mandate to take the country in a more liberal direction were absolutely rebuffed. They did win the White House, defeating a divisive, flawed president severely damaged by a rampaging pandemic and an economic collapse. Even then, the presidential race was much closer than it should have been, given the president’s weakness.

And down ballot, Democrats can find little comfort. Republicans will still control the Senate, they increased their strength in the House, more than held their own in state legislatures across the country, and picked up one governorship. Republicans will control redistricting next year in many states. A Washington Post reporter noted that Biden’s victory came with the weakest coattails in 60 years.

I believe the election shows that we remain a center-right nation with a large contingent of working, middle-class Americans who dramatically disagree with coastal elites, big-city liberals and the establishment news media. These Americans see the aforementioned groups undermining traditional American and family values. The election shows that a large swath of voters don’t believe that big government is the solution to all of America’s problems.

Is what happened in 2020 unique because of the personalities involved in the presidential contest or are we observing what could be long-term trends?

Pignanelli: One hundred years ago society and politics were forever changed by the Great War, new technologies and the 1918 pandemic. The recent elections demonstrated similar impacts of disease, technology and global chaos. What happened in 2016 was not a fluke. Mixed outcomes in the presidential and congressional elections reveal realignments of demographics and priorities are occurring. As in 1920, these irreversible dynamics hold challenges but much promise for the future.

Webb: It would be a big mistake to underestimate the magnetic pull Trump has on his passionate base. His bombast and contrariness touch multimillions of Americans on a visceral level. Through Trump, working-class Americans rebel against political correctness, identity politics and big government. Liberal elites will never understand this. They dismiss such people as ignorant bumpkins. But the Trump base is, and will remain, a significant force. It’s unclear, however, whether a Republican other than Trump can keep these Americans politically active and energized.

Will such election results be reflected in public policy decisions?

Pignanelli: Absolutely. Although partisans are loathe to admit it, concerns regarding health care, the environment, race relations, innovation, economic opportunity, preserving capitalism and traditional values are bleeding across party lines, and will influence national and local legislation. Thank goodness.

Webb: With Biden presiding over a divided government, I do believe opportunity exists for compromise and progress on a range of important issues, especially immigration, health care, energy policy, climate change, infrastructure and economic stimulus.

But there will be no large leftward lurch. No court-packing, no Green New Deal, no big tax boost.

From Utah to the White House, here are some of the best and worst moments of the election

The red and blue walls are crumbling and demographics are realigning. This will impact Utah’s local politics and elections.

By Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb

Pignanelli & Webb: Well, we wish we could say the 2020 election is over but, as of our Thursday deadline, some races were still undecided. But we can say conclusively that this election confounded expectations and predictions. Thus, we provide the best, worst, strangest and most intriguing elements of the 2020 national and Utah elections.

What were the positive highlights of 2020 elections?

“All the ills of democracy can be cured by more democracy.” — Al Smith

In a year filled with rancor, pestilence, economic strangulation, divisive partisanship and emotional challenges, Americans and Utahns turned out in record numbers to cast ballots in a peaceful manner. This was a true test of the republic and we passed.

Nothing was more heartwarming than watching our fellow citizens of different skin hues, creeds and origins casting their ballots. Sure, extremists on either side may try to foster protests when the results are finalized, but the overwhelming participation, the highest number of voters in history, protected the sanctity of our institutions.

The lowlights?

The low point of the entire election was the first presidential debate. All observers and even partisans were depressed with the performance of the two candidates.

The strangest Utah-related election occurrence?

Utahns possess a unique perspective in this category. When their senior senator, Mike Lee, during a public political rally compared President Trump to Book of Mormon hero Captain Moroni, the most subdued reaction was a raised eyebrow. Obviously, this generated tremendous uproar among the faithful and among knowledgeable gentiles. But perhaps it was an intriguing method to garner interest in Lee’s church.

Most interesting (at least to political hacks)?

For months, serious experts used polling results and other research to proclaim profound judgments that not only would Joe Biden win in a landslide, but a massive blue wave not seen since the FDR tsunami of 1932 was imminent. They cockily predicted multiple red states would flip and the entire American government would be in the hands of Democrats. They were very wrong … again. These coastal elites and establishment news media continue to diminish and even disregard the economic and social concerns of working class middle America. The errors of “experts” in 2020 are even greater than 2016.

Positive highlight in Utah?

The joint press conference and commercials featuring Republican gubernatorial candidate Spencer Cox and Democrat Chris Peterson pledging the civil discourse was definitely a PR stunt … and everyone loved it. (Well, except strident partisans, but they are no fun anyway.) In fact, their lovefest spread across the country with massive media coverage — demonstrating a hunger by Americans for their politicians to be nice. Do nice guys finish last? Well, one did and one didn’t.

The worst in Utah?

All Utahns can agree they hated incessant airing of the awful negative TV and radio advertisements produced by supporters and campaigns of Congressman Ben McAdams and his challenger Burgess Owens. Negative ads can work, but when they are stacked on top of each other filling every second, minute and hour of commercial time, viewers block them out. Unfortunately, national party hacks were not alone producing crappy ads and personal attacks; the local campaigns joined this fray (even though the strategy was inconsistent with the candidates’ actual personalities). These ads added further insult by instructing us on Utah values and “bringing everyone together.” The hardcore political operatives behind these tactics will need to shower to remove the stench.

The strangest nationally?

The presidential election may be determined by ... Nevada? Utah enjoys the proximity of our Silver State neighbors, but no one predicted they would play such an outsize role in the final moments of the presidential election (as of this writing). This weirdness is further compounded by the results in Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania.

Most interesting trend in Utah?

Democrats in the U.S. House of Representatives are bickering among themselves because their projections of massive victories dissipated and turned into Republican gains. Yet in the Utah House, Democrats are likely to pick up some seats. Their success reaffirms the east bench of Salt Lake County is shifting blue. Further, the loss (and near loss) of several seats in west Salt Lake County is also revealing. Could this be an indication of shifts in suburban politics in Utah?

Further, without a presidential nominee with coattails, the Salt Lake County mayoral race was handily won by Democrat Jenny Wilson, and the council races are more mixed.

These results my indicate Utah voters are paying attention to individual issues issues and less on party affiliation. This was made easier by the recent change in Utah law disallowing straight party ticket voting.

The Utah election results are highlighting significant trends to watch in this decade. The narrowness of the 2020 national election results document that 2016 was not a freak occurrence. The red and blue walls are crumbling and demographics are realigning. Technology and society are rapidly evolving, but traditional norms are in stronger demand by many. This will impact Utah’s local politics and elections. Please don’t ask us to predict how.

Want to be a pundit? Here’s what to look for on Election Day

By Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb

As a service to our great readers, we provide a primer of what to look for on Tuesday

Pignanelli & Webb: “I would caution anybody: If you read the early vote, or small polling leads, and think that this race is over, you are mistaken.” — Anthony Salvanto (respected CBS political analyst with a very cool Italian name)

Finally! Election Day is upon us. Although some results may not be final for weeks, at least the disgusting television and radio commercials pummeling the candidates in the 4th Congressional District are over. As a service to our great readers, we provide a primer of what to look for on Tuesday, and discuss with your family and friends and while sounding like a real pro.

What makes this election different?

Consistent with everything in 2020, this campaign season is strange and unique. For the first time in history, a majority of ballots will be cast before election day. Part of this dynamic are concerns with the COVID-19 pandemic, but also the intensity in both political parties to influence the outcome. There are predictions of record-level voting in almost every state. Also, many Americans who did not vote previously are now registered, which could produce surprises.

Also, it’s important to look at the lessons of history. This is not the first election during a pandemic. In 1918, during a deadly, raging flu contagion and a world war, control of Congress changed in the November elections.

What state results will be indicators of where the country is going?

Keep your attention on Pennsylvania and Florida. The Keystone State of Pennsylvania will be key in this election. Pennyslvania cannot count mail ballots until Tuesday, so the evening results will be preliminary. But, if it’s even close, there’s a good chance Donald Trump is on a path to victory. Further, if Florida is marginal or possibly leaning towards Trump, then that means the Hispanic vote is supporting him there and possibly in other states. If Trump loses either of these two on election night — it’s over.

Also, watch Arizona. Deadlocks in other parts of the country may give this state the final say in who wins.

What to expect in Utah’s 4th Congressional District?

A mind-boggling and record-setting $20 million has been spent by both candidates and political parties in this contest. Some analysts believe incumbent Ben McAdams was helped by ballot proposals on the 2018 ballots that are not present this year. However, he has compensated by mounting a huge field operation.

The key to this race is south of Salt Lake County. The uber-competent Utah County Clerk Amelia Powers Gardner will not repeat the problems of her predecessor in preventing thousands from voting. The candidate with the best strategy for voter turnout across the district will prevail.

The polls have consistently revealed that this race is deadlocked and we may not know final results for several days.

What could happen with control of the U.S. Senate?

In recent history, the success of Senate candidates were tied to the support of their party’s nominee for president. But 2020 decimates old playbooks.

Maine may decide Senate control. The state uses the ranked choice voting system. So the Senate candidate initially receiving the highest number of first-place votes may not be the ultimate winter. It’s whoever has the most first and second place preferences. This race will dominate the airwaves Tuesday night and possibly into Wednesday.

Georgia requires a runoff election if one candidate does not receive 50% of the vote. The Peach State has two Senate elections (general and special), and polling indicates that both are likely headed to January runoffs. If this occurs on Tuesday, then the ultimate control of the Senate may not be determined until Jan. 5.

Other races to watch are North Carolina, South Carolina, Iowa, Michigan and Arizona. With likely unprecedented voter turnout, controversial presidential candidates and a pandemic in a struggling economy, it is essentially impossible to predict which party will control the Senate when the dust settles.

What other Utah elections should be followed?

Republican Spencer Cox is certain to win the governor’s race. If Democrat candidate Chris Peterson receives more than 30% of the vote, it will be a small victory of sorts, and will signal some interesting trends. Should Democrats pick up legislative seats, that could be revelation of potential Democrat victories in other Utah races, and even in other parts of the country.

Amendment G, amending the state Constitution to create more flexibility in using funding earmarked for public education, is likely to pass. But, a close contest will indicate voter support for education funding that may be reflected in future legislation.

Salt Lake County Mayor Jenny Wilson is facing the most aggressive challenge an incumbent in her position has faced for decades. How Republican Riverton Mayor Trent Staggs fares will be an important evaluation of the political dynamics in Utah’s largest county. Join with the rest of the political pundits and watch this one closely.

Please remember: Despite the intense feelings of partisans, whatever happens on election day, the country will go forward and be just fine.

How to identify your ghoulish politicians as they trick-or-treat

By Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb

Normal people are behaving like zombies, with distant looks on their faces. Yes, Halloween is soon here, but we are describing 2020 election.

Pignanelli & Webb: This is the season of nightmarish scenes, haunting messages and terrifying predictions. Normal people are behaving like zombies, with distant looks on their faces. Yes, Halloween is soon here, but we are describing 2020 election.

It is the season of tricks and treats, and most Americans assume they’re being tricked. Over the next week, candidates will be appearing on virtual and figurative doorsteps, seeking votes, not candy. To help you identify them as they solicit your support, we reveal what costumes they may be masquerading in.

Republican gubernatorial candidate Spencer Cox will be costumed as the mythical creature griffin and Democratic candidate Chris Peterson will be a unicorn, a reflection of their recently announced joint effort encouraging civility in politics. In other words, they represent something everyone wants to see, but that doesn’t exist in reality.

Sen. Mike Lee will be donning the attire of a new superhero “Captain Constitutional Republic” as he battles those evildoers who dare to label our government a democracy.

President Donald Trump really needs no costume to be scary, but he will dress as the “Hulk” — the biggest, loudest and angriest guy in the room.

Former Vice President Joe Biden will be donning a Barack Obama mask to remind voters of his major campaign message: “I am buddies with Barack”

Gov. Gary Herbert will be wearing the “Plague Doctor” outfit complete with goggles and the large hook nose. The hope is to scare everyone into wearing masks and social distancing.

State epidemiologist Angela Dunn will be Florence Nightingale, providing stern medical advice but with her usual gentle bedside manner.

If you see Casper the Friendly Ghost, it’s likely Attorney General Sean Reyes floating about. People know he exists but he’s hard to pin down. Chasing this spirit around will be Democratic attorney general candidate Greg Skordas in Ghostbuster regalia.

Congressman Ben McAdams will be wearing the Ronald Reagan mask as part of his intense effort to attract Republicans.

Republican congressional candidate Burgess Owens will be Teflon Man. Apparently, harsh attacks on him — or even comments made by him — bounce right off.

Utah Democratic Party chairman Jeff Merchant will be Don Quixote as he maintains warfare against windmills.

Utah GOP Party chairman Derek Brown will be costumed as a lion tamer as he attempts to train and subdue unruly candidates and party members.

Sen. Mitt Romney will return as the Dark Knight, mysterious in his ways and holding to principle as he seeks to instill common sense in the dark corridors of the nation’s capital.

Salt Lake County Mayor Jenny Wilson will assume the nun habit of Mother Teresa, demonstrating her concern for those afflicted in the pandemic while hoping to shame state leaders.

Republican Salt Lake County mayoral candidate Trent Staggs will be Johnny Appleseed, seen planting lawn signs in every nook and cranny of the county.

Salt Lake City Mayor Erin Mendenhall will be wearing the Dr. Tony Fauci mask demonstrating her support for scientific approaches to the pandemic, justifying her request for more restrictions.

Congressman Chris Stewart will be wearing a Trump mask, signaling he’s all in with the Prez — no turning back.

GOP congressional candidate Blake Moore will be wearing a trench coat and sunglasses to further promote fun rumors of possible undercover activity in his past.

Congressman Rob Bishop will be the seldom-seen Sasquatch. Rumors, scratchy photos and discarded diet Dr. Pepper cans point to his existence, but sightings are rare.

Congressman John Curtis is superhero Plastic Man, able to stretch himself across the state and the political aisle in preventing climate change and protecting states’ rights in public lands.

Democratic congressional candidates Darren Parry, Kael Weston and Devin Thorpe will be The Three Amigos, doing their best to protect the citizenry from rascally Republican politicians.

This column sometimes describes State Auditor John Dougall as “The Force” because government agencies feel his presence. To remain consistent in his omnipresence, he will be trick-or-treating as Baby Yoda.

House Speaker Brad Wilson will sport Braveheart attire (complete with kilt and blueface), courageously leading his caucus to balance Utah’s tax system and defend against Democratic challengers.

Senate President Stuart Adams will seek treats as Gandalf the Grey, effortlessly and effectively leading his fellowship of senators through the scary forest filled with protesters, lobbyists and rowdy House members.

Senate Minority Leader Karen Mayne is Flo the Progressive Insurance spokeswoman, reminding everyone that a unique style of relentless determination and earnestness does succeed.

Minority Leader Brian King is the cartoon character Underdog, fighting for right of the opposition to oppose anything, at any time, no matter what.

Former Sen. Orrin Hatch is the Great Pumpkin. We know he is out there and we have fond memories, despite few sightings, and we wish him well.

Pignanelli & Webb will be haunting neighborhoods as happy, clumsy clowns — not too competent, but giddy that the election concludes in just nine days!

Amy Coney Barrett, Mike Lee and Utah’s Amendment G ... what are the political ramifications?

By Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb

Utah temperatures are dropping, but intense politics is keeping Utahns hot (and agitated). We review some of the sizzling topics.

In the Senate Judiciary Committee confirmation hearings for the nomination of Judge Amy Coney Barrett to the U.S. Supreme Court, viewers witnessed a huge tug-of-war and lengthy speechifying among liberal and conservative senators. Utah Sen. Mike Lee played a leading role in the action. Will this nomination and confirmation process impact national and Utah elections? What does this do for Lee’s career?

Pignanelli: “When will there be enough women on the Supreme Court? I say when there are nine, which shocks people. But when there were nine men nobody ever raised a question about that.” — Ruth Bader Ginsburg

Responding to inquiries regarding Judge Barrett’s faith, some U.S. senators suggest American Catholics are a persecuted minority. Finally! This is official recognition of the torment I endured my entire life. Admittedly, most torture was from fellow Catholics — family members and religious instructors — imposing huge guilt trips and self-loathing. But, I’ll take whatever sympathy I can get.

Judge Barrett performed well under pressure and her personal story is compelling. This could influence the small sliver of undecided voters in the presidential contest.

The perception of Barrett could impact Senate races across the country. Right-leaning voters apprehensive with the president but comfortable with the nominee may now support GOP candidates in tight races. Conversely, the hearings also gave Democrats a strong platform to raise concerns with the potential loss of Obamacare during a health crisis.

Lee is further cemented as a conservative warrior, especially on religious liberties issues. This will set him up as a future gatekeeper on the Judiciary Committee.

The likely positive vote for Judge Barrett will result in six Catholics on the Supreme Court — weak evidence of discrimination. But trust me, other guilt trips are being created.

Webb: For moderate Republicans wavering in their support of President Trump, this nomination of a remarkable, highly-qualified, but conservative woman to the Supreme Court should remind them of the importance of having a Republican president making judicial appointments.

This importance is further amplified by threats by some Democrats to pack the Supreme Court, and the refusal of the Democratic presidential ticket to forthrightly reject court packing. If the Democrats win both the presidency and the Senate in a few weeks, pressure by the left wing of the party will be intense to add members to the court so that liberals control all three branches of the federal government. That should frighten Republican voters and drive them to support Trump and other Republicans.

Meanwhile, Sen. Lee was obviously having fun at the hearings, waving a pocket-size copy of the Constitution and discussing a range of constitutional principles. Because this confirmation is not really in doubt, and because Barrett was so cogent and succinct in her answers, there was much more speechifying by senators going on than actual questioning of Barrett. Lee got in some good speeches and made some solid points about religious freedom.

I was immensely impressed by Barrett. She will be a terrific addition to the Supreme Court.

Seven constitutional amendments will be on the Nov. 3 ballot and most, with the exception of Amendment G, are generating a sleepy reception. Currently, the Constitution restricts the use of income taxes for public and higher education. Amendment G would extend use of income taxes for programs that support children and people with disabilities. Opponents are increasing their level of activity. What are the politics of this?

Pignanelli: The 2019 and early 2020 tax reform battles were intense, and the combatants are exhausted. This welcome truce resolves budgetary problems. But for decades, education advocates treasured this unique constitutional protection for public schools and are questioning its removal.

Momentum is favoring passage as players in the political, business and education community abhor a repeated struggle over sales taxes that will result otherwise.

Webb: It’s important to remember that essentially the entire education community supports Amendment G. Combined with new statutory language, it will help stabilize and protect education funding over the long term. It is critical that the state’s tax structure be better balanced to reflect the modern economy.

In response to consistent higher levels of coronavirus cases, Gov. Gary Herbert announced a new COVID-19 transmission index with various restrictions. Any political ramifications?

Pignanelli: Herbert found the middle between competing forces. The transmission index is a clever, effective method of highlighting concerns and restrictions for large groups is commonsense. This should appease Utahns doing their best to control the virus, while legitimately resenting lifestyle limitations because of irresponsible teenagers.

Webb: My wife and I canceled a family gathering to celebrate a grandchild’s birthday because it would have violated the new guidelines. This program will work if citizens take it seriously. We can’t shut down the economy. Businesses need to stay open and children need to be in school. Let’s follow the guidelines, wear masks and keep the economic recovery going. And we’ll find a way to more than compensate for the missed birthday party.

Utah and vice presidential candidates held a nice debate. Did it change any minds?

By Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb

SALT LAKE CITY — Whew! It’s over. Once again, Utah was the focus of global attention as it hosted the vice presidential debate last Wednesday between Vice President Mike Pence and California Sen. Kamala Harris. We review implications of the event, especially juxtaposed against interesting Utah poll results.

Days before the debate, a Y2 Analytics survey revealed President Donald Trump was leading Vice President Joseph Biden 50% to 40% in Utah. Interestingly, the president’s support among members of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints was less than 60%, which is lower than prior elections with other Republican candidates. Did the debate change Utahns’ perceptions of the presidential candidates?

Pignanelli: “What I will remember most about tonight’s vice presidential debate … is I will not remember it.” — Stephen Colbert

Every year, Americans flock to Utah to be rejuvenated through outdoor activities, religious gatherings and interaction with friendly residents. Once again, the Beehive State — albeit electronically — invigorated (or relieved) millions through simply hosting an argument. Critics are complaining about snarky behavior and dodging questions. So what? The purpose was to produce a treasured ritual of democracy and that running mates are up to the ultimate task. Mission accomplished.

The Y2 poll also indicates 56% of Latter-day Saints believe Trump is a dishonest man, but Pence is beloved. But, the vast majority do not like the politics of Biden, who suffers high disapproval ratings.

The survey demonstrates a fundamental element of Utahns. While uncomfortable with Trump, they will hold their nose to vote for him in preference to his policies. Furthermore, they expend resources to host a vice presidential debate, treating all parties with courtesy. Utahns are pragmatic and believe the traditions of our democracy are more important than personal differences.

Utah supplied the only humorous episode in this entire election season — the famous fly on Pence’s head. Success all around for our beloved state.

Webb: It’s remarkable how Trump’s surrogates, particularly the vice president, make a better case for Trump than he does for himself. Pence was a much better debater than Trump was in the earlier debate. Pence persuasively defended administration policies and effectively articulated the conservative political philosophy.

America’s vice president is a heartbeat away from becoming president. Pence appeared to be much better prepared for that eventuality, on both domestic issues and foreign policy, than Harris.

The Y2 survey also showed a significant number of Utahns don’t like the president personally, but do like his policies. Many Utah Republicans are struggling with these questions: Can I vote for someone whose personality and character repels me, but whose policies and results I generally like? And if I don’t vote for Trump, will I be complicit in helping ensure a liberal, Democratic takeover of Washington (and the packing of the U.S. Supreme Court)?

Those are weighty and difficult questions. Pence’s calm, but resolute, defense of his boss and his accomplishments should provide some rationale for Republicans to vote Republican. The reality is that Trump’s bark is almost always worse than his bite. He makes outrageous statements, blows things up, and takes every issue to the brink, but ultimately gets good results (mostly).

The Utah Debate Commission, led by former state Sen. Karen Hale and former Senate President Wayne Neiderhauser worked in conjunction with the University of Utah through Jason Perry, director of the Hinckley Institute of Politics. What is the impact on Utah of this historic event beyond just highlighting vice presidential candidates?

Pignanelli: Despite the criticism, Tuesday’s debate is the gold standard for future interactions. The local commission and the university provided flawless physical and technical support (other than that fly). Tactics used by the candidates will be studied for years to come.

It was nice the candidates soaked up some Utah history and culture. Hopefully, they and other engaged observers will learn more about the “Utah Way” — as a model for government and business in the post pandemic environment.

Webb: The Utah Debate Commission and the University of Utah did a terrific job staging this debate. It was fun to watch the national media focus a bit on Utah and see Utah landmarks on network TV and cable networks. By all measures, this was a successful effort and the debate itself was enlightening for voters.

Trump announced that he will not participate in a virtual debate. Are debates over for this election season and what will they look like in the future?

Pignanelli: Earlier, Trump wanted more debates to demonstrate his prowess on stage. But the strategy has shifted to more rallies and these matches are a distraction, so there is unlikely to be any more this season. Future debates will mirror the Utah structure — hopefully without the plexiglass.

Webb: Trump may have simply been lobbing one of his hand grenades. Negotiations may work things out so the last two debates can proceed. Trump could win the last two debates if he would adopt the demeanor of his vice president. But Trump is Trump.

Will October’s early surprises overshadow the debates?

By Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb

SALT LAKE CITY — Wow. It’s barely October and the surprises are already coming. The nasty presidential debate was soaking up all the national news coverage. Then the COVID-19 bombshell with the president and first lady testing positive created a news media feeding frenzy. Sen. Mike Lee also tested positive.

These events propel the coronavirus to the top of election issues, but we shouldn’t forget last week’s debates, especially the stark difference in tone between the presidential mudfest and the Utah gubernatorial debate. We attempt some last-minute analysis.

What’s the fallout in Utah from the Donald Trump/Joe Biden knife fight in the gutter? Meanwhile, Lt. Gov. Spencer Cox and law professor Chris Peterson articulated their differences in a friendly and professional manner. How does the president testing positive impact all of this?

Pignanelli: “The presidential debate made history. It was the first time Americans watched TV and wished for commercials.” – Jimmy Fallon

Recent developments consigned politics to the twilight zone. Most presidential matchups are forgotten within hours. But Tuesday’s event remained a hot topic for days — which is exactly what Trump wanted.

Despite the continual onslaught, Biden did not drool or collapse, confounding predictions from his opponents. (National decency suffered a gut punch when the candidates weirdly did not use the opportunity to disavow white supremacists and violent left-wing activists.) But the impact of the president’s COVID-19 illness has pushed the debate aside and elevated the pandemic to the front of the campaign.

In Utah, voters watching the Cox/Peterson genteel discussion were treated to important deliberations of policy (i.e. a mask mandate, funding for public education, etc.). Substantial time was dedicated to the state response to the pandemic, reflecting viewer’s concerns. Thus, the positive tests for Trump and Lee now supercharges issues surrounding the coronavirus in local campaigns.

The next several weeks will determine how weird things get, now that we are in the twilight zone.

Webb: From the perspective of a candidate, the purpose of a debate is to win votes. This usually happens when a candidate demonstrates a command of the issues, presents a positive vision and plan for the future, and projects strength and confidence, while showing a human side and empathizing with voters. Drawing a contrast with one’s opponent is also important, and it’s OK when disagreements are sharp.

Utahns were treated to that sort of debate in the gubernatorial contest. Two knowledgeable and articulate candidates discussed issues and challenges facing Utah with clarity and grace. They disagreed on a number of things, but did so respectfully. I thought Peterson, as the underdog, needed to more forcefully challenge the lieutenant governor, but it was a good debate and voters learned a lot about the candidates and the issues.

By contrast, it’s beyond me how Trump could have possibly thought that being rude, obnoxious and bullying would win additional votes. Biden responded in kind, calling Trump names and getting into the gutter with him.

Trump contracting the virus won’t change things much. Democrats may not say it out loud, but they feel the president has had a cavalier attitude about the pandemic, so he reaps what he sows.

Ordinary citizens who tuned in to the presidential debate to learn about the candidates and issues instead had to cover their ears and remove their children from the room. The bottom line is even more citizen cynicism about politics.

The University of Utah is hosting the debate between Vice President Mike Pence and Sen. Kamala Harris on Wednesday. How will this benefit Utah and what should readers expect?

Pignanelli: The vice president and senator will be on their best behavior. Both camps need to recapture voters’ respect so policy differences will be contrasted in a serious manner. Both contestants are viewed as potential presidential contenders and how they perform will be intensely scrutinized. This match may be remembered as the Pepto-Bismol debate — providing relief from political indigestion.

Millions of viewers will be grateful that Utah, consistent with its reputation, hosted a pleasant, efficient and meaningful vice presidential debate.

Webb: It’s terrific to have this debate in Utah. It will certainly not be a friendly encounter, and probably won’t even be respectful. But Pence and Harris will focus on issues rather than just yell at each other. It will be a real clash of political ideologies, providing a sharp contrast between a solid conservative and an arch-liberal/progressive.

It will still be all about Trump. Harris will attack Trump unmercifully, and Pence will have to defend Trump while pointing out the dangers of a leftist agenda. It will provide Utah voters with a clear ideological choice.

Because of the first presidential debate debacle, will future debates this year be canceled or altered?

Pignanelli: Trump’s condition may prevent future debates. If not, there will be changes. But too few or excessive modifications may cause a candidate to refuse participation, or worse … boredom by viewers.

Webb: Future debates shouldn’t be canceled, unless dictated by health considerations, but the format should be less freewheeling and the candidates themselves must agree to — and follow — some commonsense rules.