
NEWS & EVENTS
Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb: Utah precinct caucuses cause for national attention
Utah's 2016 political party precinct caucuses, which incorporated presidential nomination contests, were remarkable events. The caucuses generated unprecedented attention from Utah voters, the national media and presidential candidates.
Utah's 2016 political party precinct caucuses, which incorporated presidential nomination contests, were remarkable events. The caucuses generated unprecedented attention from Utah voters, the national media and presidential candidates — multiple visits, advertising, literature and field operations. The Utah results might even help determine the eventual party nominees.
Sen. Ted Cruz easily captured all of Utah’s 40 GOP delegates. Did Utahns validate the Mitt Romney anti-Trump strategy by voting for whoever can prevent Trump from winning a majority of delegates? Could this change the trajectory of the GOP nomination?
Pignanelli: "Participating in a Republican caucus is like attending a stake conference. Visiting a Democratic caucus is similar to experiencing a Burning Man festival." — Observations from a very prominent Utahn, who dropped by both caucuses, and wisely wishes to remain anonymous.
The Easter bunny came early for local politicos. The campaign commercials and media analysis were great fun. Plus, the drubbing of Donald Trump was a beautiful thing. The concentrated effort in Utah can be replicated in other states to stall Trump’s momentum.
Trump on the ballot jeopardizes GOP control of the U.S. House and Senate and statehouses across the country. A serious response to this threat requires a ruthless manipulation of convention rules and protocols.
Throughout history, political parties and factions have savaged the convention process to ensure the "correct" candidate is nominated. (Supporters of Abraham Lincoln used reprehensible tactics. Thank goodness!) The national Democratic Party, to prevent insurgent candidacies that plagued it in the 1970s (George McGovern, 1972; Jimmy Carter, 1976) installed the "superdelegate" mechanism that exists today. Allowing 720 party bigwigs to vote unbound to their constituents’ preference is a big safety feature.
But as I remind my Republican friends, the pure act of democracy occurs on the Tuesday after the first Monday of each November. Everything else in politics is subject to cutthroat tactics delivered by otherwise decent persons. The survival of the republic depends upon this dichotomy.
Webb: Congratulations to Utah Republicans for dumping Trump. No doubt, a lot of Cruz votes (mine included) were strategic, designed more to deny delegates to Trump than to show affection for Cruz.
So much is at stake in this election: the presidency, control of the U.S. Senate and crucial appointments to the U.S. Supreme Court. Truly, the future of the country hangs in the balance. Facing a very weak presumptive Democratic nominee in Hillary Clinton, Republicans initially had a clear path to victory and just needed to nominate a solid candidate and run a good campaign.
Instead, Republicans are mired in a disastrous nomination process with no obvious happy outcome. The top two candidates, Trump and Cruz, will lose to Clinton. But ousting them in a contested convention will result in chaos and massive defections. Somehow, the national Republican party is in a lose-lose situation.
Bernie Sanders swamped Hillary Clinton. Did Utahns breathe life back into his efforts?
Pignanelli: Sanders’ incredible lopsided success in Utah and Idaho gives him the momentum needed for a push in the remaining states — especially California and New York. National experts note that Sanders' achievement in these two states will help in fundraising and volunteer efforts. However, the affection by Utah Democrats for the Vermont socialist is interesting. Is it pushback against “establishment candidate” Hillary Clinton or the embrace of Sanders’ persona and platform?
Webb: It’s great that so many young people turned out and got involved in politics, giving Sanders his big margin. But I’m still trying to figure why it took a democratic socialist to excite young people — a candidate whose answer to every problem is to increase the size of government, raise taxes and balloon the deficit. I hope we’re not raising a generation that thinks the government should rip apart big businesses, penalize successful people and redistribute wealth. Hopefully, it’s just the usual pattern of political maturation: “If you’re not a liberal at 25, you have no heart. If you’re not a conservative at 35, you have no brain.”
Utah Republicans were also spotlighted for conducting the presidential preference by online balloting. Is this a fad or the beginning of a trend?
Pignanelli: After enduring long lines, chaos in caucus organization and frustration with technical details, many Utahns will be pressuring political leaders for online voting. If thousands of Utahns are using the Internet to purchase personal items, conduct private research and otherwise help in important decisions, then voting should be one of those activities.
Webb: Online voting had plenty of problems, but the party deserves credit for trying it. The Count My Vote movement encouraged the political parties to open up the caucus process, and it was nice to see the GOP allow online voting and absentee voting. Still, the long lines, confusion and disorganization upset a lot of people, some saying they will not attend a caucus again. The bugs in the online process showed it’s not quite ready for a general election, but that day is coming. A presidential primary election allowing early voting, online voting and in-person voting would have produced significantly more participation.
Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb: Utah and the 2016 presidential election
Utahns are proud of our state’s amazing accomplishments. We deserved to host a presidential primary debate. Mr. Trump's refusal to attend in order to give a speech to a PAC is an offense and insult.
It’s a tumultuous time in the presidential election, and Utah is in the middle of the action this week. Here are questions we’re hearing.
With Marco Rubio out, where do his Utah supporters go, and who do you predict will win the Republican and Democratic caucus contests in Utah on Tuesday?
(Pignanelli) "My taxi driver loves Donald Trumpbecause Trump is saying everything he has been saying at the bar for the past 20 years" — Chuck Warren, Utah political strategist
Republican presidential politics in Utah is a dinner party that rapidly disintegrated into a personal nightmare. The obnoxious drunk (who will not leave) is chasing away erudite guests but his offensive antics are popular with half the table. So the average Utah GOP voter has a terrible choice: sit next to the boorish center of attention, a preachy zealot or a wonkish nerd. The situation compels pity.
My best guess (or hope) is that Gov. John Kasich and Sen. Ted Cruz capture the top two slots and Trump is a distant third. Because the Democratic vote is open to all, left-leaning independents and others will swarm the caucuses to give Sen. Bernie Sanders the Beehive State.
Trump on the ballot is a problem for both parties. Local GOP candidates in safe seats should worry that turnout could be lower, or even hostile. They will need a plan to distance themselves from the top of the ballot while maintaining enthusiasm for their candidacy.
Trump’s victories are driven by big chunks of blue-collar Democrats crossing over. So the minority party must have a Trump strategy to protect candidates and incumbents outside the capital city.
(Webb) Personally, I’m voting on Tuesday for Kasich, by far the best candidate overall and the one best positioned to defeat Hillary Clinton. But Cruz seems to have the most momentum in Utah. He will probably pick up a lot of support from Rubio backers. Weekend candidate visits to Utah and last-minute endorsements (like former Gov. Mike Leavitt’s endorsement of Kasich) could make a difference.
It’s going to be very close between Clinton and Sanders, but it doesn’t really matter. Clinton will be the Democratic nominee.
Will Donald Trump’s and John Kasich’s decision to pass on debating in Utah hurt them in Tuesday’s caucus election?
(Pignanelli) Utahns are proud of our state’s amazing accomplishments. We deserved to host a presidential primary debate. Mr. Trump's refusal to attend in order to give a speech to a PAC is an offense and insult. So a message needs to be sent to the blowhard billionaire. Trump demonstrated what he thinks of us and Utahns should return the compliment on Tuesday evening.
(Webb) I’m disappointed the Utah debate isn’t happening. It would have been great to see the candidates up close and personal in a debate format. But it probably won’t make a difference in the voting. I’d love to see Trump bomb in Utah, come in third behind Kasich and Cruz. Let’s show the world Utah doesn’t buy his bigotry and bombast. I would love for Utah to be Trump’s worst state.
What are the presidential campaign implications of the Republican-controlled U.S. Senate declining to even hold hearings on President Obama’s nomination of Judge Merrick Garland to the U.S. Supreme Court?
(Pignanelli) Americans are the hardest working and most productive people on the planet. Every day, over 100 million show up at work regardless of disagreements with the boss or a customer. Thus, voters will not sympathize with senators’ refusal to conduct a hearing because of anger with the president.
With Trump as the nominee, GOP control of the Senate will be precarious. So why confirm allegations that Washington, D.C., is dysfunctional and further irritate voters? The best interests of Republicans — and the country — are served by a vigorous review of the nominee.
(Webb) I admit to wondering why the Republicans don’t just hold the hearings and vote the nominee down. But Sens. Orrin Hatch and Mike Lee are right that if they do so it gives President Obama, Democratic presidential candidates and Sen. Harry Reid a nice forum to try to score political points in a months-long, divisive process infused with election-year politics. And then he’ll be voted down anyway. So why bother? The result will be the same.
Garland might be a moderate fellow and a good judge. But he’s no Antonin Scalia, and far too much is at stake for Republicans to allow the court (and the country) to tilt further left. Sure, Senate Republicans are going to get beat up for a week or two. But then it will be over and the Senate can get on to other work.
Truth is, Obama put up a sacrificial lamb with no expectation that he would actually be confirmed.
Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb: Using Trumpisms to illustrate Utah's legislative work
We keep hearing that anything related to Donald Trump increases newspaper readership. So, in a heroic attempt to bolster Deseret News circulation, this year we graciously use Trumpisms to illustrate legislative work.
Pignanelli & Webb: It's a tradition for your columnists to help readers understand the escapades of each just-adjourned legislative session using the language of the Academy Awards, March Madness, spring training, etc. We keep hearing that anything related to Donald Trump increases newspaper readership. So, in a heroic attempt to bolster Deseret News circulation, this year we graciously use Trumpisms to illustrate legislative work.
"Its YUUUGE!" The Legislature provides $432 million in new money for public education. Gov. Gary Herbert actually compliments lawmakers for outdoing his budget. Democrats and advocates say it is still not enough, and their attempts to boost funding are shot down. But momentum could be building for a bigger investment next year (always next year).
"It’s beautiful." Central casting could not have selected two more different personalities than Senate President Wayne Niederhauser (reserved, cerebral, deliberative) and House Speaker Greg Hughes(passionate, energetic, outspoken). In other states this could be a recipe for stalemate. But the polar opposites are dedicated conservatives committed to the legislative process, so once again the "Utah Way" prevailed.
“I’m really, really rich.” Sales tax earmarks for transportation have resulted in unprecedented money flowing into highway projects. So the governor and lawmakers, even strong transportation advocates, agreed to take some away and give it to education and water projects.
“I like people who weren’t captured.” Lawmakers and the business community hotly debated whether the taking of corporate “prisoners” via non-compete agreements should be outlawed. The committee hearings and public presentations were among the best seen in years. A compromise bill finally passed.
"Squirmish." In her endorsement of Trump, Sarah Palin invented a new word apparently combining skirmish and squeamish. It may be in dictionaries soon. Lawmakers were a little squirmish in debating elimination of the death penalty, aggressively skirmishing in a squeamish sort of way.
“Look at my hands. Those hands can hit a golf ball 285 yards. Are they small hands?” Republicans flexed some political muscle by adding two GOP slots to the Legislative Audit Committee, and giving GOP leaders the ability to break tie votes on the Legislative Management Committee. Dems were unhappy but it could have been worse.
"Art of the deal." Legislation promoted by Rocky Mountain Power to allow funding of its Sustainable Transportation and Energy Plan and restructure energy rates was expected to be the major battle of the session. Under the careful tutelage of Sen. Stuart Adams, the deal-making among the many interests was artful and resulted in an armistice for most of the session. A hostile flare-up occurred at the end, but never the protracted open warfare.
"Closing the deal." Medicaid expansion has failed for a number of years. House Majority Leader Jim Dunnigan crafted a delicate compromise providing health care access to 16,000 very low-income Utahns. Trump-like deal-making funded the program ($30 million from the state, $70 million federal and $13.5 million from Utah hospitals). Critics on the left and right were grumpy, but pragmatic problem-solvers knew only this kind of deal could pass to help vulnerable Utahns.
"Tremendous." Sen. Curt Bramble is the president of the National Conference of State Legislatures. For any other human, this would be a major distraction during the session. But nothing stopped the Provo dynamo from being the go-to guy on several tough issues.
"I am very flexible." Lawmakers said no to open use of medical marijuana, and almost approved state control and distribution of "weed." The issue will return next session, providing more opportunities for Gov. Herbert to say "doobie."
"I’m very highly educated. I know words. I have the best words." Higher education received a heavy infusion of cash. However, legislators rewarded the University of Utah's refusal to play BYU in basketball with an audit and tight purse.
"Low energy." For months, some lawmakers grumbled about SB54 (the Count My Vote compromise bill) and the signature-gathering route it allows to get on the ballot. They took no action over the past year. A federal court advisory indicating parts of the law are likely unconstitutional sparked a flurry of talk, but it all fizzled, punting any resolution back to the court.
“Make Draper great again.” Lawmakers approved $800,000 to study how to turn the current prison site at Point of the Mountain into a high-tech campus corridor linking south Salt Lake County to northern Utah County.
"I’ll build a great deep water port — and mineral royalties will pay for it." Legislators debated a HUGE idea — constructing a $53 million deep-water port in California to export Utah coal and other products to foreign markets.
“They’re bringing drugs, they’re bringing crime … and some, I assume, are good people.” Lawmakers discussed the criminal element infiltrating the homeless population in downtown Salt Lake City and passed significant legislation and funding to provide additional shelters and services for the non-criminal homeless.
“I don’t wear a toupee. It’s my hair. I swear.” For the record, Pignanelli & Webb have real hair as well. We know you were wondering.
Congrats to lawmakers and everyone associated for another productive session.
Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb: Utah is an island of rationality in a sea of political lunacy
By Thursday midnight, Utah’s 104 citizen lawmakers will have paid for critical state needs, including more money for education, and balanced the state budget. They will have dealt forthrightly with the major issues facing the state.
The year of political lunacy continues, although Utah is a relative island of rationality. We take a look at what’s happening.
The legislative session ends Thursday at midnight. What’s the outlook for the session’s big issues?
(Pignanelli) "I learned while in the state legislature, important legislation is always a work in progress." — Marco Rubio
Our lawmakers appropriately resolved the most important issue of the legislative session — they rejected the well-intentioned but incorrect proposal to replace Columbus Day with "Indigenous People's Day." A holiday celebrating the tremendous civilizations existing before the arrival of European explorers should be established — but not at the expense (in my unbiased opinion) of honoring that noble, colorful and courageous collection of humanity who immigrated from the Italian peninsula — on the second Monday of every October. The importance of Italians to America is best illustrated by the maxim: "We found it. We named it. We built it."
In the months leading to the legislative session, there was an expectation of additional one-time and ongoing revenues. Unfortunately, recent revenue projections are less than announced, so legislators have the tough task of trimming relied-upon expenditures before they were even passed. However, lawmakers will likely provide a substantial percentage increase to public and higher education.
Sen. Stephen Urquhart successfully secured Senate support for elimination of the death penalty, and there are even odds it could pass the House. He shrewdly articulates the pain of the legal process surrounding execution is an enormous burden to victims and to the state. This is causing many current supporters of capital punishment to reconsider.
Funding and prioritization for transportation and water projects will again dominate final discussions, as will proposals for Medicaid expansion and other human service programs.
(Webb) It has been a relatively quiet session, overshadowed by the wild and crazy presidential race. That’s fine with legislators, as this is an election year and most prefer to run without big controversies hanging over them.
By Thursday midnight, Utah’s 104 citizen lawmakers will have paid for critical state needs, including more money for education, and balanced the state budget. They will have dealt forthrightly with the major issues facing the state. Modest Medicaid expansion is likely, extending health care access to Utah’s most vulnerable low-income population. As of this writing, legislation repealing the death penalty, medical marijuana, funding for homeless services and non-compete agreements were still being debated.
This was a “steady-as-she goes” session without giant initiatives, but hints are being made that the next session might be the time to make a big push for much higher education investment.
Contrasted with the national Congress, Utah’s Legislature is a model of efficiency, collaboration, common-sense and competency.
Will Mitt Romney’s speech last Thursday at the University of Utah slow Donald Trump’s surge toward the GOP nomination?
(Pignanelli) Romney's performance was interesting and fun, but cultivated many questions for politicos (i.e. Why not earlier in the primary season? Is this a one-time gig or will you lead a larger effort? Groundwork for convention, candidacy? etc.)
Romney's unprecedented actions confirm 2016 is a historic election year. Trump continues to demonstrate the established rules of campaigning that governed American politics for 70 years are no longer relevant. Furthermore, the Romney attack is the first salvo in the civil war now absorbing the Republican Party. A massive realignment of demographics and ideology is changing the political landscape. Although these dynamics are frustrating and often frightening, it is great entertainment.
(Webb) I thought Romney’s speech was substantive, compelling and absolutely spot-on. He exposed Trump as the charlatan he is. I hope it helps people come to their senses who are nervous about Trump but are attracted by his boldness and some of the things he says. Don’t be fooled. Trump is not going to suddenly become sensible.
Perhaps the speech will bolster the broad establishment crusade to deny Trump the nomination. But I fear it’s too little, too late. While the race remains unpredictable, the only chance to stop Trump is a deadlocked GOP convention resulting in chaos, furthering the meltdown of the national Republican Party. This ruckus is going to get crazier. Rather than slitting your wrists, sit back and enjoy it.
Will Trump be a no-show at the Utah GOP presidential debate March 21?
(Pignanelli) Utahns must hope that by mid-March Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio (and maybe John Kasich) have each collected several important victories. This ensures a brokered convention and thereby the March 21 debate will capture the rapt attention of voters and observers across the planet. Mr. Trump cannot ignore such an audience.
(Webb) Utah is probably Trump’s worst state, but that’s not why he would skip it. In a week or two, the state of the race will be much clearer (either obvious that Trump will win, or obvious that it’s going to be a fight to the convention). If Trump has the nomination all but locked up, he will want to focus on Hillary Clinton and the general election, not debate Republicans still nipping at his heels.
Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb: Legislature offers contradictions in standard issues and new trends
Like most things in life, the Legislature offers contradictions. We explore some of the standard issues and new trends.
Some people ask us if we ever run out of column topics. The answer is no. New and recycled issues, events and controversies pop up like whack-a-mole. If anything, there’s too much to write about. Here are a few current topics that caught our fancy.
Is hosting a Republican presidential debate on March 21 a big deal for Utah?
(Pignanelli) “The media has wrested complete control of the presidential primary debates from the parties and candidates … and they've become a circus.” — Mark McKinnon
These are strange times. “Interesting” and “fun” are rarely used adjectives to describe GOP events. But many Americans (especially this one) are having a great time watching Republicans wrestle each other in the debates. Thus, these internal cage matches are generating record ratings.
The national attention and tourist dollars Utah receives from hosting the debate will be (to utilize the favorite adjectives of Donald Trump) tremendous, fantastic and beautiful. But the relevance of the verbal contest will be in direct correlation to the results of the Super Tuesday and other March primaries.
Over half of the delegates will be pledged to candidates when the event airs. So all true politicos are praying for the following scenario in March: Trump wins a handful of primaries while the remaining contenders win upsets in their home states (i.e. Ted Cruz claims Texas, Marco Rubio takes Florida, John Kasich wins Ohio) and a smattering of other contests. Then the possibility of a brokered convention is more than just a fantasy. With such an environment on March 21, our beloved state will be recipient of global attention not felt since the Olympics. This dynamic could foster street protests, international media coverage of local delicacies like fry sauce, a wave of spring skiers and traffic jams.
Let's all hope the Ides of March bestow the laurels of triumph on at least three political presidential gladiators and that joyous confusion dominates. Then the real victors will be 3 million Utahns.
(Webb) It’s a cool thing for the state, but we ought not to get euphoric. Some 27 states and territories (including some big ones) will vote between now and March 21. Many pundits are saying the race will be all but over by mid-March. If Utah is going to be Marco Rubio’s “firewall” against the Trump onslaught, then he’s in big trouble.
Still, just having Donald Trump’s big mouth in Utah will be HUUGE. We have plenty of establishment targets for him to ridicule. We prefer polite language and we believe immigrants deserve respect. We like to hear real solutions to problems, not just boastful bluster.
The real impact of the debate and the presidential caucus voting the next day will be to capture all the attention and all but eliminate media focus on local races. Usually, we’d be talking about which Utah candidates are getting their supporters to the caucuses and what’s happening in local races. Instead, it will be wall-to-wall Trump. That may actually be good for Gov. Gary Herbert and not so good for challenger Jonathan Johnson, who will have a hard time winning any news cycles with The Donald sucking up all the political oxygen.
Usually, governors provide long-term vision for the state while the Legislature tends to be reactive. Key lawmakers are hoping to push more expansive long-range planning. Can this be done?
Pignanelli: Legislators are leading the way on judicial reform, moving the prison, accountability in higher education, economic development initiatives, technology promotion in public education, etc. The governor has highlighted several key objectives for educational degrees and job creation. The executive and legislative branches may be bumping into each other in pursuing a vision, but that's a good problem.
Webb: I have been impressed that the Legislature, particularly Senate President Wayne Niederhauser, wants to plan for a doubling of the state’s population over the next few decades. Certainly, lawmaking bodies are by nature reactive, dealing with the issues of the day and worrying about the next election. It’s hard for lawmakers to make needed investments that may not pay dividends while they’re in office. At the national level, Congress seems totally incapable of doing the hard things, like dealing with entitlements and ballooning deficits.
But Utah’s Legislature has taken tough action that will pay off long into the future. It voted to move the state prison. It voted to raise gas taxes and give local governments authority to boost local transportation taxes. It is trying to figure out how to provide water for twice as many people and how to boost Utah into a top 10 state in education. We need to support legislators who are willing to make investments that will benefit our children and grandchildren.
Is the petition signature process for automatic primary ballot placement having any impact on deliberations?
Pignanelli: Obtaining the necessary signatures for the primary elections are the new bragging rights for lawmakers. Some admit avoiding extremist delegates has loosened their decision-making process. So the net results of expanding outreach to voters and moderating legislative debates is a real positive.
Webb: Some 130 candidates have declared their intent to gather signatures. That’s a terrific start to this new process in its first year, especially considering the Republican Party has created a great deal of confusion in its unfortunate battle to eliminate this option. I believe the impact, this year and even more in the future, will be very positive both in elections and in the creation of public policy. State legislators, for example, will be more accountable to all voters, not just to party delegates.
Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb: Supreme Court nominations and Utah delegates
The president should exercise his constitutional prerogative and select a replacement for Antonin Scalia, but based upon the recommendations detailed by Justice Scalia in a recent opinion.
As Utah’s Legislature slogs along, wild and crazy politics at the national level are capturing the most public attention. Some Utah congressional leaders are in the thick of it.
What role will Utah Sens. Orrin Hatch and Mike Lee play in the confirmation or lack thereof of a new U.S. Supreme Court justice?
(Pignanelli) "Supreme Court arguments and decisions are fascinating to a few of us and really pretty boring to most.” — Dan Abrams
I have sympathy for the family of the deceased U.S. Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia. But it does warm my heart to witness the public expression of respect and admiration by Republicans for a short, swarthy, gregarious Italian.
For 40 years, Sen. Hatch was the "go to” guy for Democrat and Republican presidents in pushing their nominations. Utah's senior senator is not too "go to"-ish this year, especially if the president nominates an East Coast liberal jurist.
The president should exercise his constitutional prerogative and select a replacement for Scalia, but based upon the recommendations detailed by Justice Scalia in a recent opinion. Look for a quality lawyer with public university education, living in the middle sector of the country. This nominee should enjoy the benefit of a practical experience and not the cocoon of academia or a long thread of judgeships. He or she is a centrist (a word rarely used), well respected in legal and community circles.
This strategy sends important signals. The president is willing to work with Republicans on filling the bench. More importantly, a much-needed message is conveyed: Americans do not need to attend an elite university, or live on a coast, to be raised to the highest levels of our government. The entire nation will benefit from such an exercise.
(Webb) Orrin Hatch has been mentioned as a possible Supreme Court appointee over the years, and even today as a “consensus” nominee. That obviously isn’t going to happen, but Hatch will be in the middle of the nomination process.
Mike Lee is a young, scholarly, intellectual conservative senator/attorney with a keen legal mind. One day he could be the nominee of a conservative president, especially if he continues to display his practical, problem-solving side.
It was a mistake for Republicans to say they won’t even consider the president’s nominee. The president should nominate and the Senate should run it through their regular process. It’s highly unlikely the president will choose someone capable of being approved by the Republican Senate. But go through the process. As they say in old movie Westerns, “Have the trial and then hang him.”
Utah’s four U.S. House members are supporting Sen. Marco Rubio for president, while Sen. Hatch is supporting Jeb Bush, and Sen. Lee is staying neutral for now. Why the Utah support for Rubio, and why don’t Donald Trump and Ted Cruz attract more support in Utah?
(Pignanelli) Our congressional delegation is reflecting the habits and preferences of their constituents. They may never admit it, but Utah Republicans have more in common with Barack Obama (commitment to family, appreciation of intelligent discourse, abhorrence of intolerance, etc.) than with Trump. Furthermore, Utahns are not an angry people (it's impossible to stay mad living in this great state). Thus, Cruz has little traction. Our state has a legacy of pragmatism — which explains the affinity for Rubio and Bush.
(Webb) I’m proud of Utahns for not buying the Trump snake oil. He runs third in Utah, behind Rubio and Cruz, among both Republicans and voters in general. Utah might be his worst state in the country. Trump has now criticized the pope. I assume Mother Teresa will be next. I don’t know who’s left for him to ridicule (perhaps God?). If he runs out of living people, I suppose he could turn his vulgar mouth on George Washington and Abraham Lincoln.
Will Utah get a new national monument courtesy of President Obama before year’s end?
(Pignanelli) Although criticized by detractors on the left and right, some politicos believe the Public Lands Initiative pushed by Congressmen Rob Bishop and Jason Chaffetz prevents such a move. The president could be reluctant to slap down efforts towards compromise and dialogue.
(Webb) The more extreme environmental groups are dismissing the lengthy and comprehensive Public Lands Initiative (PLI) process, giving Obama the excuse he needs to designate a monument.
It will be an action both tragic and disdainful, protecting less land than would the PLI and ignoring local input and concerns. It will further exacerbate the tension and hostility that exists between federal land managers and traditional user groups. If Obama makes the designation, forget about any truce or attempt to find common ground on public lands issues. It will be an ugly fracas, both locally and in the congressional arena. It’s not too late to work through differences on PLI and avoid a disaster.
Shrewd consultants are absorbing and adapting while the dinosaurs are refusing to change.
As a general rule, public policy should be enacted by the lawmakers elected to represent us. However, it doesn’t hurt for voters periodically to weigh in directly on major issues.
The legislative session is already nearly half over, with some delicate issues facing Utah’s lawmakers. Here are some of the trickiest.
Should major policy issues like Medicaid expansion and tax increases for education be placed before voters if the Legislature won’t pass them?
(Pignanelli) “These things [gang warfare] gotta happen every five years or so … helps get rid of the bad blood.” — Peter Clemenza, "The Godfather Part I"
Experience has taught me occasional use of the “Clemenza Rule” makes for good policymaking.
For several years, various business, community and political groups have been battling each other over education, transportation, planning and Medicaid issues. Legislators have served as tireless proxy warriors for these conflicts, but per Clemenza, the battlefield needs to be expanded to the general public.
Although initially divisive, there is great societal advantage for the various factions to wage a political war for the hearts and minds of Utahns on these issues. Initiatives, referendums and ballot questions provide great opportunities for vigorous discussion and deliberation by voters on selective matters (plus, the fighting between the campaigns sheds the bad blood). Utahns possess the common sense and intelligence to supply appropriate direction to officials through these electioneering activities.
[Readers: The insightful analysis of Mr. Clemenza is another example of how the challenges of modern life can be resolved with the wisdom contained in America's greatest literary masterpiece: the two Godfather movies.]
(Webb) As a general rule, public policy should be enacted by the lawmakers elected to represent us. However, it doesn’t hurt for voters periodically to weigh in directly on major issues. Unlike California, where citizen referenda are out of control, few issues get on Utah’s ballot.
Legislators wouldn’t be shirking their responsibility by periodically putting something on the ballot, either as an advisory vote, or to create a new law. They already require local governments to put certain tax matters, like bonding for school buildings, on the ballot.
Some issues are really big, really important and really difficult. So why not let citizens express their support or opposition? The tax increase for education proposed by many business leaders and Education First, for example, could be a game-changer for Utah education, helping Utah gain top-10 education status. But the tax boost is large enough that the Legislature will never pass it. So why not let voters decide if they want to make the investment?
Same with Medicaid expansion. It’s a difficult issue pitting our compassion against fiscal prudence. So why not let citizens directly have a say?
Should online retailers be required to collect sales taxes?
(Pignanelli) These are the inventions and achievements that propelled humanity to higher levels of enlightenment, health and prosperity: utilization of fire, the wheel, agriculture, wine, the printing press, marinara sauce, flight, wireless communications and the Internet. Web applications continue to expand and improve our everyday lives. Therefore, all should be nervous about government messing with this remarkable development. The time will come when we can adequately assess taxes on e-commerce retailers, but not now. Innovative small businesses are selling products by traditional and online means, and we need to allow this to develop.
(Webb) The sales tax is one of the three legs of a balanced tax system that provides money for essential public services. We can’t continue to let the sales tax erode away. More and more purchases are being made online, and the trend will accelerate. Paying sales and use tax is the current law, whether purchases are made online or at a local store. Collecting the tax is not imposing a new tax. It’s just treating online merchants the same as your neighborhood shops.
Certainly, this is difficult. A patchwork of state laws covering the thousands of local tax rates is tough to manage. But Utah ought to require tax collection, reducing tax rates to keep revenue neutral, and continue pushing for a federal solution.
Medical marijuana legislation took a hit when the LDS Church came out against it. Any chances of passing?
(Pignanelli) State Sen. Mark Madsen deserves a merit badge of courage for raising this subject in the last several legislative sessions. His bill is DOA because of the recent announcement, but the issue survives. [Gov. Gary Herbert deserves a shout-out for using the word "Doobie" in a press conference when explaining his position.]
Legislation offered by Sen. Evan Vickers and Rep. Brad Daw will likely pass, allowing consumption of certain cannabis extracts. The always sensible Sen. Brian Shiozawa is offering a resolution requesting the federal government to reclassify marijuana as a Schedule II drug so researchers can investigate the benefits of medical marijuana. Suffering Utahns deserve to access this relief.
(Webb) There’s a reason many law enforcement officials oppose medical marijuana. They see the abuses. If marijuana is to be accepted as medicine it ought to go through the rigorous safety and approval processes required of new medicines. Medical value should be determined by scientific research and laboratory tests, not by politics or anecdotes about miracle cures.
Frank Pignanelli & LaVarr Webb: Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary will affect Utah
Shrewd consultants are absorbing and adapting while the dinosaurs are refusing to change.
The caucuses last week in Iowa and the presidential primary next Tuesday in New Hampshire will affect Utah — beyond just the selection of candidates. As political hacks, we are compelled to discuss the wacky world of presidential politics.
National pundits are saying that the 2016 election is breaking traditions and the commonly accepted rules of elections. Beyond just the rise of Donald Trumpand Bernie Sanders, what are revolutionary activities and developments that are occurring?
Pignanelli:"Technology is a strange thing. It brings you great gifts with one hand and stabs you in the back with the other." — Carrie Snow
The national space program spawned more than just satellites and landings on the moon. America's efforts to conquer the great beyond advanced technology, satellites, and numerous everyday products (i.e. Tang, safety stripes on roads, freeze-dried foods, etc.)
Similarly, presidential campaigns launched or enhanced activities once new, but that we now take for granted (i.e. polling, consumer profiling, etc.) So the behind-the-scenes exertions in Iowa, and those likely to occur in the following primary contests -are HUUUUGE! (the Trumpism de jour). Although the media attention has focused on non-mainstream candidates, the real story is the success of new approaches and the failure of traditional outreach to voters.
Ted Cruz has more than just great field operations; he utilizes the most advanced technology in the history of electioneering. His use of data mining, thorough micro-targeting, and intense analytics is unprecedented. More than anything else, this explains his victory and defense against the Trump onslaught in Iowa.
Conversely, the traditional television carpet bombing used by the Super PACs paid no dividends to the candidates and obviously did nothing to harm rising star Marco Rubio. Trump’s inexpensive tweets had more effect than the commercials.
Webb: Whatever technology and targeting techniques are used, candidates must still tap into aspirations, fears and attitudes of voters. In this regard, the current anti-establishment fervor is really nothing new. Human nature remains the same over decades and centuries. Voter behavior follows familiar patterns in response to economic conditions, world affairs and government competency. Keen observers from the Greek philosophers and Shakespeare to modern historians have written about the same political intrigue and rebellion against the establishment we're seeing today. Far greater upheaval has occurred countless times in many countries. So what we’re seeing today isn’t unprecedented, and eventually we’ll see a return to normalcy.
What are the impacts of 2016 political trends on Utah politics and possibly the private sector?
Pignanelli: Our state is technology savvy, so we will be poked and prodded by data mining and profiling in future elections. The geographical distribution of Utahns, combined with our Internet connectivity, can easily drive the creative engines for political operatives.
Where Utahns and other Americans will truly experience this revolution is how products are marketed to us. The Cruz campaign demonstrated how to create brand identification and loyalty. Increasingly, the messaging we receive to influence shopping habits will be selective and dictated by complex algorithms and caches of data.
Webb: Advanced technology is driving a wrenching societal transformation, and the effects are reflected in the presidential campaign. I grew up in west Orem in the ‘50s and ‘60s. For many decades, a young man could graduate from high school, get a secure blue-collar job at Geneva Steel, get married, buy a modest house, raise a family, eventually buy a fishing boat and a truck and camper for hunting trips, and end up with a decent retirement.
Those days are obviously long gone. People who are not prepared for the high-tech, quick-changing, interconnected, mobile global economy are working at McDonald’s and are left out of today’s economy. Pretty soon, robots will take their jobs at McDonald's. So there are a lot of angry, disaffected folks. Utah is doing better than most states, but the crucial lesson is that if we don’t want populist, rabble-raising politicians to lead a country of angry people (like Argentina), we had better provide great education so our young people can have good jobs and good quality of life.
How do these factors benefit or disadvantage the new petition process for a party's nomination?
Pignanelli: The "good old days" of keeping delegates happy for a re-election bid are over. Most candidates and challengers will utilize the new technologies to secure petition signatures for their campaigns while driving down the interest in their opponents’ efforts. This will be much more expensive, but also expansive in outreach to voters.
Webb: As of this writing, some 110 candidates were gathering signatures from party members to get on the primary election ballot. That includes about 60 legislative candidates and nearly 50 county candidates. That’s quite remarkable given the Republican Party’s unrelenting effort to create confusion and discourage signature-gathering. From now on, candidates will need to appeal to all party members instead of courting a relatively few delegates who tend to be more extreme in their political views.